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The Florida Gators (4-3, 2-2 SEC) and Georgia Bulldogs (6-1, 4-1) will tangle in a Saturday afternoon neutral-site affair in Jacksonville. The kickoff at EverBank Stadium will be at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around Florida vs. Georgia odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Florida heads into this contest off a bye week. The Gators last played Oct. 19, when they outgained the favored Kentucky Wildcats 476 yards to 309 in a 48-20 triumph as 2.5-point underdogs in Gainesville. UF led that game wire-to-wire and registered a season-high 5 rushing touchdowns.
Georgia, which is No. 2 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, has also been off since Oct. 19 when the Bulldogs earned a 30-15 win over then-No. 1 Texas, scoring the first 20 points of the game. In this contest, the Bulldogs are seeking their fourth straight win over the Gators. It would be Georgia’s longest win streak in the rivalry since winning 6 in a row from 1978-83.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Florida vs. Georgia odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 6:16 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Florida +475 (bet $100 to win $475) | Georgia -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida +14.5 (-110) | Georgia -14.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Florida vs. Georgia picks and predictions
Prediction
Georgia 31, Florida 17
Moneyline
Lots of juice and little chance to get any value. AVOID.
Against the spread
Florida has won 4 straight ATS. Its straight-up losses to No. 11 Texas A&M (Sept. 14) and No. 7 Tennessee (Oct. 12) were by 14 and 6 points, respectively. And from an analytics, the setback against the Aggies was a near-toss-up.
The UF pass-defense numbers are not great. The Gators rank 84th in the nation in yards allowed per completion (12.2). But many of the big chunk plays they have allowed were in the first month of the season. Overall, the UF defense is solid in preventing explosive plays.
Georgia’s power-running and offensive-line analytics are nothing to hang their hat on, and the Bulldogs look to be getting too heavy of a recency-bias lean off their win over Texas.
Field-goal attempts are up for both sides of late, and this one could well end up as more of a 2-score, 10-13-point margin contest.
This line opened at UF +18.5, so some of the air is out of the leverage tank, but Florida is still a significant lean in this spot.
BACK THE GATORS +14.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Georgia’s 7 games this fall have seen the Under cash 5 times (5-2). Across UGA’s last 11 games, the Under is 8-3.
The Bulldogs defense excels in stopping drives. Compared to Georgia squads of recent vintage, its not a high-havoc group. And as inept as Florida can be on offense (under 375 total yards in 4 games), the Gators are not overly loose with the football. So, perhaps the short-field effect and what that can do to spiral are total is tamped down a bit.
On offense, UGA likes to pass, but it should find plenty of success against UF while keeping the ball on the ground.
When it comes to rate of plays, the Gators move at a glacial pace. On what is forecasted as a breezy afternoon in Jacksonville, the UNDER 52.5 (-110) is perhaps worth a partial-unit play.
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