Toronto Argonauts at Edmonton Elks odds, picks and predictions

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The Toronto Argonauts (10-7) and Edmonton Elks (6-11) wrap up their regular seasons Friday. Kickoff from Commonwealth Stadium is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (TSN / CFL+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Argonauts vs. Elks odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.

The Argonauts are coming off a cover as 5.5-point favorites in a 38-31 win over the visiting Ottawa Redblacks Saturday with the Over (50.5) hitting. Toronto clinched 2nd in the East with the victory, and it will host Ottawa in the East Division semifinal Nov. 2.

The Elks won 23-18 as 1.5-point underdogs at the Calgary Stampeders Oct. 12 as the Under (51) cashed. WR Eugene Lewis scored a go-ahead TD with 1:09 remaining on a 10-yard pass from QB Tre Ford (23-of-29, 208 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs).

In a June 22 meeting, the Elks covered as 5.5-point road underdogs in a 39-36 Argonauts win as the Over (49) hit. QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson (28-of-38, 342 yards, 4 TDs) started in the loss, but Ford will be under center for Friday’s regular-season finale.

Argonauts at Elks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Argonauts +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Elks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Argonauts +3.5 (-105) | Elks -3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Argonauts at Elks key injuries

Argonauts

OL Dejon Allen (arm) out
DL Woody Baron (back) out
FB Brandon Calver (knee) out
RB Ka’Deem Carey (rest) out
OL Dylan Giffen (back) out
OL Ryan Hunter (rest) out
QB Chad Kelly (rest) out
LB Daniel Kwamou (knee) out
LB Jonathan Jones (hamstring) out
DL Robbie Smith (personal) out

Elks

DL Sam Acheampong (knee) out
WR Vincent Forbes-Mombleau (thigh) out
WR Kurleigh Gittens Jr. (chest) questionable
LB Eteva Mauga-Clements (wrist) out
WR Hergy Mayala (calf) out
LB Josiah Schakel (thigh) out
OL Jakub Szott (shoulder) out

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Argonauts at Elks picks and predictions

Prediction

Elks 23, Argonauts 20

Moneyline

With the Argonauts having nothing to play for and resting 5 key starters — Kelly, Carey, Hunter, Giffen and Allen — the Elks (-200) will likely win at home in their season finale. However, this line has too much vig to recommend the ML.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

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Against the spread

QB Cameron Dukes will get the start for Toronto. While he’s obviously not as productive as Kelly, he’s still serviceable with 11 total TDs (7 passing, 4 rushing) and 6 INTs on the season. Dukes was the starter in the June 22 meeting between these teams and was 18-of-21 passing for 214 yards with 2 TDs.

The Argonauts resting a few key starters is definitely a concern, but Dukes getting 3.5 points against Edmonton seems like an overreaction to Toronto having already clinched 2nd in the East.

BET ARGONAUTS +3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Elks have scored 24 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games. The Argonauts have allowed 17 or fewer in 2 straight on the road — and they did it against much better competition in the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and BC Lions.

In a game that has zero playoff implications, less scoring may be the result with multiple starters on offense sitting out.

BET UNDER 48.5 (-110).

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