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The 6th-ranked Miami Hurricanes (6-0, 2-0 ACC) meet the Louisville Cardinals (4-2, 2-1) Saturday at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC / ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Miami vs. Louisville odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Hurricanes survived a scare against Virginia Tech at home Sept. 27, and it took a reversed call on a Hail Mary to escape the upset. At Cal, Miami won 39-38, and it was the beneficiary of a no-call on what appeared to be an obvious targeting call against the Cal QB. A 1st down would have clinched the victory for the Golden Bears.
Miami’s offense has been strong, going for 38 or more points in every game, cashing the Over at a 5-0-1 clip. The defense has allowed 36.0 PPG in the past 2 outings, both league games.
For Louisville, it eased by Virginia 24-20 last weekend on the road, but it failed to cover as a 7-point favorite. In fact, it is 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past 3 outings after going 3-0 ATS in the 1st 3 games. The Under cashed last week, but the Over is 3-1 in 4 games at home.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Miami at Louisville odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 1:59 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Miami -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Louisville +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
- Against the spread: Miami -5 (-110) | Louisville +5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Miami at Louisville picks and predictions
Prediction
Miami 38, Louisville 27
Moneyline
Miami (-210) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, which is just a little too expensive for the road team, even if it is the 6th-ranked team in the nation.
Louisville (+170) is a tempting play at home, and it would be the play if the Hurricanes weren’t coming off a bye. The Canes should be rested and raring to go, so don’t look for the upset here.
AVOID.
Against the spread
MIAMI -5 (-110) is a strong play on the road. The U had the bye to rest its bumps and bruises, so the Canes should be in good health and in good shape for this road trip.
Louisville +5 (-110) opened the season 3-0 ATS, but it has failed to cover the past 3 outings. The Cardinals just don’t seem to have the offensive firepower to stick with the high-flying Canes.
Over/Under
OVER 60.5 (-110) is a good play in all Miami games so far this season, going 5-0-1 to date. The Canes have rolled up at least 38 points in all 6 contests, including 130 points in 3 road games, or 43.3 PPG.
For Louisville, it has managed 24 or more points in 3 in a row, which is not half bad, while allowing 28.3 PPG in the 3-game span. That kind of defense won’t cut the mustard against the Canes, but it’s good news for Over bettors.
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