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The Connecticut Sun and the Minnesota Lynx meet Tuesday for Game 5 of the best-of-5 WNBA semifinals. Tip-off at Target Center in Minneapolis is scheduled 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Sun vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Playoffs series: Tied 2-2; Sun won 2-1 in regular season
The Sun were facing elimination Sunday in Game 4 at Mohegan Sun Arena, but Connecticut came alive for the 92-82 win as a 2.5-point favorite as the Over (153.5) cashed. The Over is 2-0 in the 2 games in Connecticut, while the Under went 2-0 in the 1st 2 games in the Twin Cities.
While the regular-season series had all 3 games decided by 5 points or less, the past 3 games in this series have been decided by 7 or more points.
In Game 4, the Sun shot 53.7% (36-of-67) from the field, including 53.3% (8-of-15) from behind the 3-point line. F Alyssa Thomas was her usual, productive self, going for 18 points and 11 assists with 5 rebounds in 36 minutes.
The Lynx hit just 46.7% (28-of-60) from the field, going 38.5% (10-of-26) from downtown, while hitting 88.9% (16-of-18) from the free-throw line. Star F Napheesa Collier was good for 29 points and 13 rebounds with 3 assists, 2 3-pointers, 1 steal and 1 blocked shot.
Sun at Lynx odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Sun +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Lynx -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Sun +4.5 (-110) | Lynx -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Sun at Lynx picks and predictions
Prediction
Lynx 75, Sun 73
Moneyline
The Lynx (-190) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too much risk for not nearly enough reward.
The road team has done well in recent seasons in this series, and the Sun (+155) certainly won’t be fazed by going to the Twin Cities again. Connecticut proved it can win there in Game 1, and it won in the Twin Cities back on May 23, too.
This is going to be a very, very close decisive Game 5.
PASS.
Against the spread
The SUN +4.5 (-110) is worth a look in this final game of a very entertaining series.
The Lynx -4.5 (-110) is just 2-3 ATS in the past 5 games as a favorite. While the past 3 games in this series have been decided by 7 or more points, we’ll get a much closer battle in Game 5 like we saw during the regular season.
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Over/Under
UNDER 152.5 (-115) is a strong play in Game 5.
We saw the Under cash in the 1st 2 games of this series in the Twin Cities, and the total has gone low in the past 3 meetings in Minnesota since July 4.
While Connecticut has split the Over-Under 3-3 in the postseason, the Under is 8-2 in the past 10 games on the road dating back to Aug. 18.
For Minnesota, the Under has cashed at a 7-3 clip in the past 10 games at home since Aug. 15.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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