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Toronto FC (11 wins, 4 draws, 18 losses) welcomes Inter Miami (20-8-4) to BMO Field for an Eastern Conference clash Saturday. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami odds, and make our best MLS picks and predictions.
Toronto FC has rebounded since having a streak of 6 straight losses earlier in the season. It has lost 3 of its last 4 as well, dropping its most recent game at home to the New York Red Bulls 4-1 Wednesday. Toronto is on the brink of playoff position at 9th in the conference. It has a -20 goal differential, the 2nd-worst in the conference. Offensively, it is led by F Federico Bernardeschi, who has netted 8 goals in 29 matches.
Inter Miami, on the other hand, locked up the Supporters’ Shield in its most recent 3-2 win against the Columbus Crew on the road Wednesday. Miami hasn’t lost since July 6, a discouraging 6-1 defeat to FC Cincinnati. Since, Inter has won 6 of 9 games and is 6-3-0 in those. It is led by F Lionel Messi, who has 17 goals and a team-high 11 assists. He is expected to play, as he made the trip, but with the Shield locked up, how much he’ll play is a much different question.
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Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Toronto FC +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Inter Miami +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Draw +275
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -160)
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Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Toronto FC 2, Inter Miami 2
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+275).
Inter is the far better side here, but it doesn’t have a ton of reason to play at its full capacity. It has also played to the level of its competition as of late, drawing 3 of its last 4 games. It is 1-3-0 in those games, drawing NYCFC and Atlanta United on the road in that span.
Toronto has drawn 1 of its last 2 games. While it has yet to draw at home, it should be able to gain some confidence, as getting any result would be impactful for its playoff seeding. Considering those trends, back DRAW (+275).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+115).
Toronto FC has a lacking defense, and that should be exposed by Inter’s elite offense. Toronto has allowed at least 2.3 expected goals in 3 of its last 5 games. It has scored in 2 straight and is averaging 1.21 goals per game while allowing 1.82.
Inter has gone over this total in 4 of its last 6 games and also allowed at least 1.9 expected goals in 3 of its last 5. Miami is averaging 2.25 goals per game while allowing 1.47. The defensive weakness should be clear in this game, so expect a good chunk of opportunity for the offenses.
Back OVER 3.5 (+115).
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