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The Tennessee Volunteers (4-0, 1-0 SEC) take a trip to visit the Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2, 1-1) Saturday. Kickoff from Razorback Stadium is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Tennessee vs. Arkansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Arkansas suffered a 21-17 loss vs. the No. 24 Texas A&M Aggies Saturday while covering as a 6.5-point underdog. It was the Razorbacks’ 3 turnovers that cost them the game despite outgaining the Aggies 379-297 in total yards and possessing the ball for just over 30 minutes.
The Vols are coming off a bye week after beating the No. 18 Oklahoma Sooners 25-15 in its last outing Sep. 21 while covering as a 5.5-point favorite. Tennessee forced 3 turnovers in the win and survived a late comeback attempt by the Sooners. Tennessee is No. 4 in the US LBM Coaches Poll.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Tennessee at Arkansas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tennessee -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Arkansas +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
- Against the spread (ATS): Tennessee -13.5 (-115) | Arkansas +13.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Tennessee at Arkansas picks and predictions
Prediction
Tennessee 42, Arkansas 35
Moneyline
PASS.
Tennessee should pick up the win as the better and more rested team to cover as a -550 favorite, but a team favored so heavily is never worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
LEAN ARKANSAS +13.5 (-105).
The Razorbacks’ offense picks up 495 yards per game and scores 35.8 points per game. That will be enough to keep Arkansas in this game. Tennessee looked human in the win vs. Oklahoma, and I expect this Arkansas offense to punch the Vols in the mouth out the gates en route to covering here.
Arkansas has also covered the spread in each of its 2 games vs. ranked squads this year.
This is a lean because Tennessee is the better team and because Tennessee has covered in every game this year.
Over/Under
BET OVER 57.5 (-105).
Both squads have phenomenal offenses, as both rank in the top 4 in the SEC in total yards per game and both average north of 35 points per game. The Over is also 3-1 for Tennessee this year and 3-2 for Arkansas.
Be aware that an Over number set this highly is always risky to play. Tennessee does also have the best defense in the SEC in terms of yards allowed per game (176), but the Vols have played very weak competition with the exception of Oklahoma this season.
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