Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) visit the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) Thursday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Tampa Bay got back in the win column with a 33-16 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday as a 1-point home underdog. QB Baker Mayfield went 30 of 47 for 347 yards with 2 TDs, with WR Mike Evans (8 receptions, 94 yards, 1 TD) being his top receiver. On the ground, RBs Bucky Irving and Rachaad White each had 10 carries for 49 yards while Irving added a TD.

Atlanta also found its way back in the win column with a 26-24 victory over the New Orleans Saints Sunday while failing to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite. RB Kirk Cousins went 21 of 35 for 238 yards with an INT while RB Tyler Allgeier ran the ball 8 times for 60 yards.

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Buccaneers at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Falcons -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers  +1.5 (-110) | Falcons -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Falcons key injuries

Buccaneers

  • Luke Goedeke (concussion) out
  • DT Calijah Kancey (calf) out
  • WR Jalen McMillan (hamstring) out
  • WR Trey Palmer (concussion) out
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (foot) out

Falcons

  • LB Troy Andersen (knee) out

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Buccaneers at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Buccaneers 31, Falcons 23

Moneyline

BET BUCCANEERS (+105).

Tampa Bay found its offensive groove again in Week 4 scoring 33 points. It is 1-0 on the road this season and has held opponents to 16 or fewer points in 2 of its last 3 games.

The Falcons narrowly avoided a 2-game skid last week with a last-second field goal, but will struggle to go toe-to-toe against a Buccaneers team that has scored 33 or more points in 2 of its first 4 games.

Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on Buccaneers ML.

Over/Under

BET OVER 44 (-110).

Tampa Bay has allowed 16 or more points in each of its 4 games this season. Atlanta has allowed 18 or more points in each of its 4 games, including 21 or more in each of the last 3. On offense, the Buccaneers have scored 20 or more points in 3 of their 4 games — including 33 or more in 2 of the 4 — while the Falcons have scored 17 or more in each of their last 3.

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