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The Wisconsin Badgers (2-1, 0-0 Big Ten) visit the USC Trojans (2-1, 0-1) Saturday. Kickoff from the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Wisconsin vs. USC odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Wisconsin was blown out 42-10 by the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide Sept. 14, failing to cover as a 14-point home underdog. The Badgers were outgained 407-290 in total yards and gave up the ball twice while forcing 0 turnovers.
USC, which is No. 16 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, is coming off a 27-24 upset loss vs. the No. 18 Michigan Wolverines Sept. 21. The Trojans, who were ranked No. 12 prior to the loss, failed to cover as 4-point road favorites. Michigan’s key to success vs. USC was the rushing attack, as the Wolverines amassed a whopping 290 yards and 3 TDs on the ground.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Wisconsin at USC odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:27 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Wisconsin +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | USC -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Wisconsin +15.5 (-105) | USC -15.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Wisconsin at USC picks and predictions
Prediction
USC 35, Wisconsin 21
Moneyline
PASS.
USC will pick up the win here, but a -700 favorite is never worth the risk of betting on. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET WISCONSIN +15.5 (-105).
We know that USC struggles vs. the run, so this Wisconsin run game — which averages 172 yards per game and put up 149 rushing yards vs. Alabama — will give the Trojans problems.
This USC offense isn’t as explosive as what we’ve seen in the past 2 years, so the Trojans will struggle to win by more than 2 touchdowns, as their offense won’t be able to make up for their defensive lapses.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 51.5 (-105).
Wisconsin and USC both have bottom-7 defenses in the Big Ten in terms of yards allowed per game. Wisconsin also gives up 23 points on average, so this will be a game of offense where the Over will hit.
USC also averages 33 points per game, while Wisconsin averages 21.7, so based on averages alone, the Over should hit.
This is a lean because the Under is 2-1 for both squads this season and neither offense is extremely highly-powered, so this bet does come with a fair amount of risk.
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