2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds, picks and predictions

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The NASCAR Cup Series returns to Bristol Motor Speedway Saturday for the 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race. The green flag drops at 7 p.m. ET (USA Network) for the 3rd race of the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NASCAR odds around the 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds, and make our expert NASCAR picks and predictions.

2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race: What you need to know

This is the final race of the Round of 16 in the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs. Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin (-6), RFK Racing’s Brad Keselowski (-12), JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. (-14) and Wood Brothers Racing’s Harrison Burton (-20) are outside the top-12 cut line.
Non-playoff driver Chris Buescher earned the win at Watkins Glen International last week in the 2nd playoff race, while Joey Logano advanced to the Round of 12 with his win 2 weeks ago in Atlanta
Hamlin is 2nd among active drivers with 4 career Cup wins at Bristol, behind Richard Childress Racing driver Kyle Busch (8)
Hendrick Motorsports driver Chase Elliott leads all active drivers with an 11.6 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 14 career races, while posting 4 top-5 finishes, 8 top-10 runs and 444 laps led
Keselowski has 3 career Cup wins at Bristol, while turning in a 15.8 AFP, 7 top-5 finishes and 1,014 laps led in 26 career Cup starts
Logano has 2 all-time Cup wins in Thunder Valley, while posting 10 top-10 finishes in 28 starts with a 16.3 AFP and 3 DNFs
Burton, who is well below the cut line to advance to the Round of 12, has a dismal 25.3 AFP in 3 career Cup start at BMS, posting finishes of 16th, 28th and 32nd
Truex has never won at Bristol in 34 career starts, posting a subpar 20.2 AFP with just 3 top-5 runs, 5 top-10 finishes and 5 DNFs in 34 career Cup races at the track

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2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NASCAR odds. Lines last updated at 5:46 a.m. ET.

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+1300) is the best bet to win Saturday’s night race.

Keselowski has not had great success in the 1st 2 races of the Cup Series playoffs, obviously, finishing 19th in Atlanta, and 26th at Watkins Glen. However, he is always a threat at Bristol, and he finished 3rd in the spring race at Thunder Valley after going off from the 17th position.

Keselowski has 3 Cup wins, 10 top-10 finishes and 1,014 laps led in 26 career starts at the track, and he has never had a DNF at Bristol, which is rather miraculous. KESELOWSKI TOP-5 FINISH (+190) — from FanDuel Sportsbook — is still a good value, too, as he’ll likely do everything in his power to move up the leaderboard and advance at a track he has always been very good.

2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race – Contender

JOEY LOGANO (+2200) doesn’t need the win, as he has already punched his ticket to the next round of the playoffs. However, it would be so Logano to win again at Bristol, dashing the dreams of others who need the victory.

He has managed 2 career checkered flags in the Cup Series at Bristol, while finishing 10th or higher on 10 occasions, with a 16.3 AFP in his 28 career starts.

LOGANO TOP-10 FINISH (-115) — from FanDuel Sportsbook — is also not priced out of line, if you want to play it a lot more on the safe side.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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