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The Milwaukee Brewers (88-65) welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks (85-68) to American Family Field Friday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Diamondbacks won 5-1 Thursday to open the series, closing as -122 favorites.
Arizona has won 2 straight games and is 6-4 over its last 10. It took on the Brewers for the first time this season Sept. 13-15 and lost 2 of 3 at home. The Diamondbacks have been solid this season on the road, posting a 43-35 record. They are 79-74 against the spread (ATS).
The Brewers came into the series following a 2-1 series win over the visiting Philadelphia Phillies Monday through Wednesday. They have won 5 of their last 8 games, scoring 10 or more runs in 2 of the 8 outings. Milwaukee is in 1st place in the NL Central, 10 games ahead of the 2nd-place Chicago Cubs. It is 44-31 at home this season and 81-72 ATS overall.
Diamondbacks at Brewers projected starters
RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Colin Rea
Gallen (12-6, 3.61 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 137 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 11-10 home win over Brewers Sunday
- 2024 away stats: 5-3, 3.75 ERA (60 IP, 25 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 12 starts
- Career vs. Brewers (regular season): 3-3, 2.20 ERA (41 IP, 10 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 in 7 starts
Rea (12-5, 4.14 ERA) makes his 26th start and 30th appearance. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 156 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 10 ER, 11 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 13-2 road defeat to San Francisco Giants Sept. 11
- 2024 home stats: 7-3, 3.78 ERA (83 1/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 15 appearances (13 starts)
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 7.20 ERA (10 IP, 8 ER), 1.90 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 2 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Diamondbacks at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Diamondbacks at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 4
Moneyline
BET BREWERS (+110).
The Brewers have been terrific with Rea on the mound this season. They are 20-9 in his outings and 11-4 in his apperances at home. Milwaukee’s bats have been hot as of late, scoring 6 of more runs in 3 of its last 6 games.
The Diamondbacks have scored 14 runs in their last 2 games but have put up 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 7. Arizona is just 3-5 in its last 8 road games. Considering those trends, take BREWERS (+110).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s no great value on the run line. The Diamondbacks are too risky as favorites here, while the Brewers aren’t worth the expense as run-line underdogs.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-110).
The Over went 2-1 in the most recent series between these teams Sept. 13-15. The Diamondbacks have an aggressive offense and have scored 8 or more runs in 3 of their last 7 games. They are 7-5 O/U in their last 12 games.
The Brewers, who are 79-65-9 O/U, have gone 2-3-1 O/U in their last 6 games. They are 3-1 O/U in Rea’s last 4 starts, though. With that in mind, back OVER 8 (-110).
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