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The New York Yankees (88-63) and Seattle Mariners (77-74) meet Wednesday in the middle contest of a 3-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is slated for 9:40 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 3-2
New York clobbered Seattle 11-2 in Tuesday’s series opener. The Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games. They are 12-5 in their last 17 games in Seattle, per Oddshark.com.
The Mariners had a 3-game win streak snapped with Tuesday’s loss. Their pitching staff leads MLB with a 3.54 ERA. New York’s run total was somewhat of a surprise, considering the Mariners hadn’t allowed more than 5 runs in the previous 22 games. They had not allowed 11 or more runs in a game since Aug. 13.
Yankees at Mariners projected starters
LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Bryce Miller
Cortes (9-10, 3.90 ERA) is lined up for his 30th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 168 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 2-1 home win in 10 innings vs. Boston Red Sox Thursday
- Career vs. Mariners: 2-0, 3.18 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 8 ER),1.19 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 5 games (4 starts)
- 2024 vs. Mariners: 1 start, win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 7-3 home victory May 22
- Last 7 outings: 4-1, 3.30 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 7.91 K/9 in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Held opponents to 1 run or less in 5 of last 6 starts
Miller (11-8, 3.12 ERA) is tabbed for his 30th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 167 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-4 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Thursday
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 10.97 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 16 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
- 2024 vs. Yankees: 1 start, loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 HR, 0 BB, 4 K in 7-3 road loss May 22
- Last 7 starts: 3-1, 1.55 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.81 WHIP, 10.0 K/9
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Yankees at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:04 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Mariners +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Yankees at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Mariners 3
Moneyline
PASS. Look to the run line (below) for the best leverage play in this game.
Run line/Against the spread
The Yanks are on a nice roll. They are 14-7 ATS in their last 21 road games.
Seattle has scuffled against lefty pitching (.659 OPS). The crafty Cortes has been keeping opposing lineups under wraps of late. Miller has had his struggles against New York.
The Yankees have posted double-digit run totals in 3 of their last 4 games at T-Mobile.
TAKE YANKEES -1.5 (+145).
Over/Under
The Over has cashed in 5 of the last 6 New York-Seattle games.
Both starters have a little bit of fade lean, and the Yanks have been drawing a slew of walks lately.
TAKE OVER 7.5 (-105).
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