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The Detroit Tigers (75-72) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (83-64) to Comerica Park Friday for the 1st of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 6 of 7 in 2023
The Orioles lost to the Boston Red Sox 5-3 Wednesday, closing as a +117 underdog. They have dropped 4 of their last 5 games, but still sit 2nd in the AL East. Baltimore is 3-3 in its last 6 away games and 41-31 on the road for the season.
The Tigers lost to the Colorado Rockies 4-2 Thursday, closing as a massive -287 favorite. They won the 2 prior games in the series and have won 4 of their last 5 games. Detroit outscored Colorado in its last series 20-8. It is 37-35 at home this season and 79-68 ATS. The Tigers are 4th in the AL Central.
Orioles at Tigers projected starters
RHP Zach Eflin vs. Undecided
Eflin (10-8, 3.65 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 148 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 7-1 home loss to the Tampa Bay Rays Saturday
- 2024 away stats: 5-5, 4.38 ERA (86 1/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 15 starts
- Career vs. Tigers: 1-0, 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 1 start
With odds up and no starting pitcher for Detroit, when and who the Tigers place on the mound to start the game isn’t expected to heavily impact the odds of the game.
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Orioles at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+110) | Tigers +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: -105)
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Orioles at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 4, Tigers 2
Moneyline
PASS.
While there is value on the moneyline, for both sides, the Orioles haven’t played a game that ended within 1 run since Aug. 27, so they typically separate either way.
Take the better odds on the spread here.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+110).
The Orioles are 5-5 ATS over their last 10 games but are 5-1 ATS in Eflin’s last 6 starts. Baltimore is 33-30 ATS following a loss as well, which it is here. Baltimore is 4-2 ATS with a rest advantage.
Meanwhile, the Tigers have won 4 of their last 5, but lost 2 of 3 to the San Diego Padres in their last series against a playoff contender, which Baltimore also is.
Given Baltimore’s success with Eflin on the mound, back ORIOLES -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
The Orioles have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games and have scored a total of 15 runs over their last 7 games. They have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 6 games as well. Baltimore is 1-3 O/U in Eflin’s last 4 starts.
The Tigers have gone Under in 6 of their last 11 games. They have allowed a total of 10 runs over their last 5 games. Detroit is 2-3 O/U in its last 5 home games. Back UNDER 8 (-115).
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