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The Baltimore Orioles (82-63) and Boston Red Sox (73-71) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 7-4
The Orioles dropped their third straight game Monday, losing 12-3 to the Red Sox. SP Cade Povich and RP Burch Smith both struggled, allowing a combined 8 earned runs on 9 hits. The only bright spot for Baltimore was RF Anthony Santander hitting his 40th home run of the season. With the loss, the 2nd-place Orioles find themselves 1½ games behind the AL East-leading New York Yankees.
The Red Sox improved to 3-1 on their current 6-game homestand with Monday’s win. RF Rob Refsnyder had an unforgettable performance, going 4 for 4 with 2 homers, a double, and 5 RBIs. DH Tyler O’Neill matched his power, going 3 for 5 with 2 HRs while CF Ceddanne Rafaela added 4 RBIs to cap off a dominant night for Boston.
Orioles at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Albert Suarez vs. RHP Kutter Crawford
Suarez (7-5, 3.49 ERA) makes his 21st start and 26th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 113 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-1 home defeat against Chicago White Sox Wednesday
- 2024 away splits: 4-3, 3.75 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 15 appearances (10 starts)
- Last start vs Red Sox: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-2 home victory Aug. 18
Crawford (8-13, 4.08 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 161 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 7-2 road setback against New York Mets Sept. 3
- 2024 home splits: 4-7, 4.06 ERA (82 IP, 37 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 15 starts
- 2024 vs Orioles: 0-2, 4.41 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Orioles at Red Sox odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:52 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Red Sox -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Orioles -1.5 (+138) | Red Sox +1.5 (-166)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)
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Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
BET ORIOLES (-108).
The Orioles need a win Tuesday, now 1½ games back of the Yankees in the AL East after Monday’s loss. They’ve done well against the Red Sox this season, taking 7 of the 11 meetings and outscoring Boston 66-54. Even though Baltimore’s hit a rough patch, losing 4 of its last 5, it has still been solid on the road with a 40-30 record.
The Red Sox haven’t been much better lately, dropping 6 of their last 9. With Crawford struggling against the Orioles and Suarez having already shut them down once, Baltimore’s got a good shot to get back on track.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I don’t love the odds, so I’ll keep my focus on the moneyline and total.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (-118).
The Under has hit in 3 of the last 5 meetings, including the same pitching matchup Aug. 18.
Suarez has been particularly strong in this department, with the Under hitting in 5 of his last 6 starts. Crawford’s also been reliable for Under bettors, with the total going Under in 3 of his last 4 starts. Given these trends and recent performances, betting the Under looks like a smart move.
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