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The Toronto Blue Jays (68-76) welcome the New York Mets (78-65) to Rogers Centre Monday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Toronto won 3-0 last year
The Blue Jays lost 4-3 at the Atlanta Braves Sunday, losing the series 2-1. They have struggled over the last week, also dropping a 2-game set to the visiting Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday and Wednesday. Toronto is 1-5 over its last 6 games, 34-35 at home on the season, and 73-71 against the spread (ATS) overall.
The Mets lost to the Cincinnati Reds 3-1 in Queens Sunday, snapping a 9-game winning streak. New York entered the series having swept the Chicago White Sox Aug. 30-Sept. 1 and the Boston Red Sox Sept. 2-4. The Mets are tied with the Atlanta Braves for the 2nd-best record in the NL East and the final NL Wild Card. They are 38-31 on the road this season and 74-69 ATS overall.
Mets at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Paul Blackburn vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Blackburn (5-4, 4.66 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 75 1/3 innings with the Mets and Oakland A’s.
- Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 7-0 road defeat to San Diego Padres Aug. 23; exited early with hand injury
- 2024 road stats: 3-3, 6.41 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 3.45 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 5.2 K/9 in 3 starts
Bassitt (9-13, 4.30 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 157 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 10-9 home loss to Phillies Tuesday
- 2024 home stats: 6-7, 4.78 ERA (90 1/3 IP, 48 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 in 16 starts
- Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 3-0 road win June 2, 2023
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Blue Jays odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Blue Jays -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Mets -1.5 (+136) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-164)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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Mets at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
BET METS (-112).
New York has been dominant both at home and on the road over the last 10 days. It has won 4 straight road games, and 8 of its last 9 victories have been by multiple runs.
While Bassitt’s numbers are impressive this season for the Blue Jays, they are just 10-18 in his starts, so they haven’t often been able to capitalize on those performances. Toronto is struggling and has lost 2 straight at home.
Take METS (-112).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Mets are better played on the moneyline than as run-line favorites. Similarly, the Blue Jays aren’t worth a play as expensive home underdogs, especially with how well New York has been playing as of late.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).
Both teams will have strong starting options with sub-5.00 ERAs on the season. The Blue Jays, on top of that, have gone Under in 8 of their last 11 games and are 3-1 to the Under while scoring 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4.
The Mets have gone Under in 2 straight and in 6 of their last 9 games. New York has also allowed 3 or fewer runs in 9 of its last 10. Considering those trends, back UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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