Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (70-69) and New York Mets (75-64) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-0

Boston has lost 4 games in a row after falling 7-2 against the Mets Tuesday as a +115 road underdog. PH Enmanuel Valdez and 2B Nick Sogard each drove in a run while RHP Kutter Crawford allowed 2 ER in 6 innings and picked up the loss.

New York has won 6 games in a row after Tuesday’s victory as a -124 home favorite. SS Francisco Lindor had a team-high 3 RBIs, and 1B Pete Alonso had a 2-run homer in the 8th inning. LHP David Peterson allowed just 1 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Red Sox at Mets projected starters

RHP Tanner Houck vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Houck (8-9, 3.12 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 164 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-5 win at Detroit Tigers Friday
  • Has never faced Mets

Megill (3-5, 4.82 ERA) makes his 11th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 52 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-1 win at Chicago White Sox Friday
  • Has never faced Boston

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-105).

The Mets have won 6 games in a row, outscoring opponents 26-9, and are 8-2 in their last 10. Boston is just 3-7 in its last 10 games and 0-4 in its last 4. It has scored 2 runs or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games while allowing 4 or more in 4 of its last 5 outings, including 3 straight.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Mets’ ML.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-110).

Both the Red Sox and Mets are 4-6 O/U in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have scored 1 run in 3 of their last 4 games while hitting the Under in 6 of their last 8. The Mets have held opponents to 2 runs or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games and also hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 outings.

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