Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Boston Red Sox at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (70-68) and New York Mets (74-64) play the middle game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 1-0

The Red Sox have lost 3 games in a row after falling 4-1 against the Mets Monday as -101 road underdogs. LF Jarren Duran singled in Boston’s lone run in the 3rd, while SP Brayan Bello allowed 4 ER in 5 innings and picked up the loss.

The Mets have won 4 games in a row after Monday’s victory as -108 home favorites. SS Francisco Lindor and LF Brandon Nimmo each drove in a run while SP Luis Severino allowed just 1 ER in 7 innings to picked up the win.

Red Sox at Mets projected starters

RHP Kutter Crawford vs. LHP David Peterson

Crawford (8-12, 4.12 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 155 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-0 home setback against Toronto Blue Jays Thursday
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (4 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home setback July 21, 2023

Peterson (8-1, 2.83 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 92 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 3-2 win at Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 3.38 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts), including 0-0 with 5.40 ERA (1 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 2 relief appearances last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Red Sox at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Mets -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Red Sox at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-135).

The Mets are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have won 4 in a row. They have limited opponents to 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 4 games and in 8 of their last 10. New York is 5-0 in Peterson’s last 5 outings.

Boston is just 3-7 in its last 10 games. It has scored 1 or fewer runs in 4 of its last 5 games and allowed 4 or more in 3 of its last 4.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Mets’ moneyline. However, 6 of Boston’s last 7 losses have come by 2 or more runs, so New York -1.5 (+165) could be worth a sprinkle.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

The Red Sox have hit the Under in 7 of their last 10 games, including 6 of their last 7. They have scored 1 run in each of their last 3 games and 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 8. The Mets have hit the Under in 6 of their last 10 games, including each of their last 4.

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