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The New York Mets (68-63) and Arizona Diamondbacks (75-56) open a 3-game series on Tuesday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Mets opened their 10-game road trip with a series split against the San Diego Padres, losing the last game on Sunday 3-2. They are 7-5 in their last 12 games and 3 games back of the last NL Wild Card spot.
The Diamondbacks return home after a 6-3 road trip. They have won 6 games in a row and are 12-3 in their last 15 games. They are 3 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers for the NL West lead and hold the top Wild Card spot.
Mets at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Sean Manaea vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez
Manaea (9-5, 3.48 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 137 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 0 BB. 9 K in 4-3 home win over Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday
- Took loss in 10-5 defeat to Arizona on June 1, allowing 6 H 6 R (5 ER) in 5 2/3 IP with 2 BB and 10 K
- Is 4-3 with 3.91 ERA in 12 career games (9 starts) vs. Arizona
Rodriguez (2-0, 3.94 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 4 BB and 11 K in 16 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-1 road win over Miami Marlins Last Tuesday
- Is 1-0 with 1.46 ERA in 2 career starts vs. Mets
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+155) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Mets at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Mets 4
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks are red hot. They have only lost 1 series in the last 2 months. They have won 7 of their last 9 series openers and have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. They are 38-36 against teams with winning records.
The Mets are 34-40 against teams over .500. They are 2-5 in their last 7 road games.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
At -190 for Arizona to cover the +1.5, there is no reason to bet the run line, especially since the last 17 times they have covered the spread have been outright wins.
PASS.
Over/Under
Seven of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 games have had 9 or more total runs. They have scored 7 or more themselves in 5 of their last 7 games.
Seven of the Mets’ last 9 have not reached 9 total runs.
Three of 4 games between the teams have had at least 9 total runs.
BET OVER 9 (+100).
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