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The Arizona Diamondbacks (73-56) and Boston Red Sox (67-60) meet Saturday as they play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at Fenway Park. Start time is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 1-0
Arizona clobbered Boston 12-2 in Friday’s series opener. The Diamondbacks have scored 22 runs over their last 2 games, and they have now averaged 7.42 runs per game over their last 12.
With Friday’s setback, the Red Sox are just 2-5 over their last 7 home games.
Diamondbacks at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Zac Gallen vs. RHP Kutter Crawford
Gallen (9-6, 3.85 ERA) is lined up for his 22nd start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 110 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-1 loss at Tampa Bay Rays Saturday
- Owns a 5.51 ERA over his last 3 starts
- Has never faced the Red Sox
Crawford (8-10, 4.25 ERA) is tabbed for his 27th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 142 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-2 loss at Baltimore Orioles Sunday
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (2.1 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 0 BB, 3 K
- Has yielded 15 home runs over his last 29 1/3 IP (8.62 ERA)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Diamondbacks at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Red Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Diamondbacks at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 5, Diamondbacks 4
Moneyline
Crawford has been beaten up in the 2nd half, logging an 8.90 ERA in a half-dozen starts. Barreled-up baseballs leaving the premises have been the problem. But the fact he has allowed just 2 extra-base hits over his last 10 2/3 IP could well be the sign of a turn.
Gallen is the better pitcher, but he has not been in good form of late and has been a shaky proposition on the road at times. He has yielded 9 runs over his last 12 road frames and for the season owns a 4.69 ERA, 1.46 WHIP away from Phoenix.
In their last 6 games after being routed by 5 runs or more in the game prior, the BoSox have gone 6-0.
BOSTON (-110) is the value side here.
Run line/Against the spread
More juice, more problems. AVOID.
Over/Under
An analytics drill-down on this match-up nets almost exactly zero lean here.
But peg 9.5 as being a slightly inflated number, and with both bullpens being in a good availability state, the UNDER 9.5 (-105) gets just a bit of a nod.
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