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The New York Yankees (75-53) welcome the Colorado Rockies (47-81) to Yankee Stadium Friday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Rockies won 2 of 3 in 2023
The Rockies lost to the Washington Nationals 8-3 Thursday, dropping their 2nd straight game. They did win 1 game in the series and beat the San Diego Padres in 2 of 3 in the series prior. The Rockies have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games, winning 2 of them. Colorado is 18-48 on the road and 65-63 against the spread (ATS).
The Yankees, who have scored at least 5 runs in 3 straight games, beat the Cleveland Guardians 6-0 Thursday, taking 2 of 3 in the series. They are 2-3 in their last 5 games after a 3-game win streak and have allowed 2 or fewer runs in 5 of the last 8 games. New York is 34-28 at home and 68-60 ATS.
Rockies at Yankees projected starters
LHP Kyle Freeland vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Freeland (3-5, 5.97 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER (5 R), 8 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-3 home loss to the San Diego Padres Saturday
- 2024 away stats: 2-4, 8.23 ERA (35 IP, 32 ER), 1.86 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 7 starts
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 11.25 ERA (4 IP, 5 ER), 2.25 WHIP, 13.5 K/9 in 1 start
Rodon (13-8, 4.34 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 134 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER (4 R), 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-0 road loss to the Detroit Tigers Saturday
- 2024 home stats: 7-2, 3.39 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 10 starts
- Career vs. Rockies: 2-2, 4.78 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 12.6 K/9 in 5 starts
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Rockies at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:47 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockies +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Yankees -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+110) | Yankees -1.5 (-132)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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Rockies at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Rockies 2
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s just no value here. The Yankees are far too much for a favorite to consider while the Rockies, facing an ace in Rodon, aren’t likely to come out on top and aren’t worth the risk either.
Run line/Against the spread
BET YANKEES -1.5 (-132).
The Rockies are 3-4 over their last 7 games and in each of those defeats, they lost by at least 5 runs, so when they lose, they lose relatively badly. Colorado’s offense also has struggled heavily, totaling 10 runs in its last 4 games. Going against Rodon is no easy task either. The Rockies are just 31-35 ATS on the road.
The Yankees have scored 14 runs in their last 2 games and are 6-2 ATS in their last 8. New York sits atop the AL East and has proven to be among the best teams in the MLB. Considering those trends, back YANKEES -1.5 (-132).
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-120).
The Rockies are 2-4 O/U in their last 6 games as their offense has struggled. However, they have allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of those 6 games as well.
The Yankees are 2-4 O/U in their last 6 games as well. They have allowed 4 or fewer runs in 5 of those games while scoring 3 or fewer runs in 3 games. Neither team has been consistently offensively, and the Yankees are 0-2 O/U in Rodon’s last 2 starts.
Couple it all together and back UNDER 8.5 (-120).
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