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The St. Louis Cardinals (62-64) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (73-53) to Busch Stadium for the finale of their 3-game series Thursday. First pitch is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 7-2
The Brewers lost to the Cardinals 10-6 Wednesday, snapping a 6-game win streak. Milwaukee did win the opening game of the series 3-2 though, closing as an underdog in both. It is 35-29 on the road and is 4-1 in the last 5 away games. The Brewers are 68-58 against the spread (ATS).
The Cardinals, who are 33-30 at home, have struggled the last few weeks, going just 2-7 in their last 9 games. They still sit 2nd in the NL Central despite going 2-4 over their last 6 games at home. St. Louis is 62-64 ATS. Its main issues over the last 10 days has been its offense, scoring 2 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 8 games.
Brewers at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Miles Mikolas
Peralta (8-7, 4.00 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 137 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER (1 R), 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 2-1 home win over the Cleveland Guardians Saturday
- 2024 home stats: 4-4, 4.30 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 13 starts
- Career vs. Cardinals: 3-6, 5.25 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 17 appearances (13 starts)
Mikolas (8-10, 5.41 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 138 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER (5 R), 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 7-6 home loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
- 2024 away stats: 7-5, 4.54 ERA (77 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 in 14 starts
- Career vs. Brewers: 10-6, 4.09 ERA (105 2/3 IP, 48 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 18 appearances (17 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Brewers at Cardinals odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+138) | Cardinals +1.5 (-166)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -104 | U: -118)
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Brewers at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Cardinals 3
Moneyline
BET BREWERS (-120).
The Cardinals have just been too inconsistent to back here, and in the last 3 games that Mikolas has started, they have struggled to keep batters off base. St. Louis is 1-2 in those 3 games and has allowed at least 5 runs in each. It has allowed at least 6 runs in 3 of its last 6 games and is just 2-3 in its last 5 at home.
The Brewers have a strong starting option on the mound and have allowed 2 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games. In Peralta’s last 3 starts, the Brewers have allowed 11 runs. Considering the difference in pitching and recent trends for both sides, back BREWERS (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s no playable value here. The Brewers are too risky as a road run-line favorite while the Cardinals are too expensive as an underdog. Avoid this play.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-104).
The Brewers are 4-3 O/U in their last 7 games, scoring at least 5 runs in 4 of those. They have been one of the top Over-hitting teams in the majors at 68-51-7 O/U.
The Cardinals are 3-3 O/U in their last 6 and 6-5 O/U in their last 11. They have scored 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games as well, so their offense may be starting to heat up some.
Take OVER 8 (-104).
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