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The Toronto Blue Jays (58-66) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (60-64) to Rogers Centre Monday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Toronto won 2-1 last year
The Reds lost to the Kansas City Royals 8-1 Sunday. They were annihilated in the 3-game set, losing 13-1 Saturday and 7-1 Friday, but had won 4 in a row heading into the series. Cincinnati has dropped to 4th in the NL Central and is 4-5 over its last 9. It is 29-30 on the road and 68-56 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
Toronto, which has gone 29-31 at home this season, has won 4 of its last 6 games, beating the Chicago Cubs 1-0 Sunday. The Blue Jays lost 2 of 3 to the Cubs as all 3 games were decided by 1 run. Toronto sits 5th in the AL East and firmly outside of playoff position. It is 62-62 ATS on the season.
Reds at Blue Jays projected starters
TBD vs. RHP Kevin Gausman
The Reds had not yet named a starter.
Gausman (11-8, 4.20 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 139 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 6-1 road loss to Los Angeles Angels Tuesday
- 2024 home stats: 4-5, 5.91 ERA (70 IP, 46 ER), 1.43 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 12 starts
- Career vs. Reds: 1-3, 8.39 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.62 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 5 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Reds at Blue Jays odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Blue Jays -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Reds +1.5 (-144) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Reds at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 4, Reds 3
Moneyline
PASS.
The Reds are a rightful underdog, having struggled against the Royals. They aren’t worth taking here. The Blue Jays (-178) haven’t shown much consistency either, especially at home. Avoid both moneyline options.
Run line/Against the spread
BET REDS +1.5 (-144).
The Reds have been the best road-covering team in MLB with a 39-20 ATS record in away games. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 on the road and 4-3 ATS in their last 7 overall.
Given the Blue Jays’ struggles to win at Rogers Centre, they have also been among the worst covering teams at home. Toronto is 21-39 ATS at home, the 2nd-worst record in MLB.
Considering those trends, back REDS +1.5 (-144).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-105).
The Reds are 2-5-1 O/U in their last 8 games and have scored a total of 3 runs in their last 3. Facing a strong option like Gausman won’t help their cause either.
The Blue Jays are 0-2 O/U in their last 2, scoring 3 runs in those games and allowing 3 as well. Toronto is 3-6 O/U in its last 9. With that in mind, back UNDER 8 (-105).
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