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The New York Mets (61-55) and Seattle Mariners (61-56) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game interleague series Saturday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 1-0
The Mets were on the short end of a 6-0 score in Friday’s series opener as they couldn’t solve SP Bryce Miller. He allowed just 3 hits and 1 walk across 6 scoreless innings in the quality start and win. 2B Ryan Bliss had a 2-run HR, while 3B Dylan Moore collected a pair of hits and C Cal Raleigh delivered 2 RBIs.
New York has wended its way across the country, going 4-4 in the first 8 games of a 10-game road trip that wraps up Sunday in Seattle. The Under has cashed in 6 in a row, while going 7-0-1 in the first 8 games of the journey.
The Mariners have back-to-back wins after dropping 3 in a row, and they’re still a respectable 8-5 in the past 13 games. Like the Mets, the Under has been the rule lately, going 4-1 across the past 5 outings with the offense averaging 2.8 runs per game (RPG) in the 5-game span, while allowing just 3.8 RPG.
Mets at Mariners projected starters
LHP Sean Manaea vs. RHP Logan Gilbert
Manaea (8-4, 3.30 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 120 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 6-0 road victory vs. St. Louis Cardinals Monday
- 2024 road splits: 4-1, 2.80 ERA (61 IP, 19 ER), 1.18 WHIP, .214 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 24 BB, 52 K in 11 starts
- Career vs. Mariners: 8-7, 3.73 ERA (99 IP, 41 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 16 starts (1 complete game) and 1 relief appearance
Gilbert (6-8, 3.05 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 147 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H (1 solo HR), 0 BB, 7 K in 6-0 home setback vs. Philadelphia Phillies Sunday
- 2024 home splits: 2-5, 2.78 ERA (71 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 0.84 WHIP, .190 OBA, 11 BB, 76 K in 11 starts
- Career vs. Mets: 1 start, no-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 7 H (1 solo HR), 0 BB, 9 K in 2-1 road loss Sept. 1, 2023
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Mariners odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:04 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-194) | Mariners -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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Mets at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Mariners 2
Moneyline
The METS (+110) are a strong play for the bounce back after Friday night’s shutout loss.
For whatever reason, the Mariners (-130) seem to disappear on offense when Gilbert is on the bump. There is no way a guy should have a 2.78 ERA, .190 OBA and 0.84 WHIP in 71 1/3 innings in 11 home starts but has a dismal 2-5 record. That’s terrible run support.
The M’s were blanked against Philadelphia in his most recent home outing despite a quality start, and they’ve cobbled together 5 runs of offensive support in his past 4 appearances at T-Mobile Park.
Run line/Against the spread
The Mets +1.5 (-194) will cost nearly 2 times your potential return if you’re a little more on the conservative side, and you want some insurance, rather than just betting New York straight up.
That’s too expensive. If you like the Mets, play them straight up.
PASS.
Over/Under
UNDER 7.5 (-120) is easily the best play on the board here.
The M’s offense disappears when Gilbert is on the bump, particularly at home, and the Mets have cashed low on the total at a 7-0-1 clip in the 8-game road trip so far.
All signs point to an Under result at T-Mobile Park on Saturday night.
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