Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago White Sox (27-74) and Texas Rangers (47-52) open a 4-game set at Globe Life Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Rangers won 5-1 last year

The White Sox were swept at the Kansas City Royals in a 3-game weekend set. They wrapped up the series with a 4-1 loss as +200 underdogs Sunday with the Under (8) hitting.

The Rangers avoided a 3-game sweep against the Baltimore Orioles, salvaging the Sunday finale 3-2 as -127 home favorites as the Under (9) cashed. C Jonah Heim hit a 3-run HR in the 4th inning, and LHP Andrew Heaney allowed just 2 hits in 5 scoreless innings.

White Sox at Rangers projected starters

RHP Erick Fedde vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen

Fedde (7-3, 2.99 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 111 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-1 home victory over Minnesota Twins July 10
  • 2024 road stats: 2-2, 4.19 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 11 starts
  • Never faced Rangers before

Lorenzen (5-5, 3.52 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 92 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 7-2 defeat at Los Angeles Angels July 10
  • 2024 home stats: 1-2, 3.12 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 5.5 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Career vs. White Sox: 1-0, 2.50 ERA (36 IP, 10 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 8 appearances (5 starts), including 0-0 with 0.66 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 2 starts last year

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

White Sox at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rangers -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-135) | Rangers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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White Sox at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, White Sox 2

Moneyline

The Rangers (-185) should hand Chicago its 8th straight loss, but it’s hard to stay profitable long term betting into lines with this much vig.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The White Sox have lost 6 straight games by 3 or more runs and scored 2 or fewer runs 5 times over that span. The Rangers were outscored 19-7 by the Orioles over the weekend, but Baltimore has been the best team in the American League this season, while Chicago has been the worst.

This is a great opportunity for the defending World Series champs to get their confidence back against an inferior opponent.

BET RANGERS -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

Lorenzen has allowed 1 run or fewer in 3 starts this season when coming off an outing with 5 or more ER. He faces a White Sox team that is last in MLB in runs per game (3.13) and 2nd-last in batting average (.219).

The Under has also been profitable when Texas is a home favorite this season, hitting at 67.7% (23-11-2) according to Teamrankings.com.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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