Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Angels (40-55) welcome the Seattle Mariners (52-45) to Angel Stadium Sunday for the finale of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 4-2

The Mariners, who have played much better at home (30-18) than on the road (22-27), have lost 2 straight to the Angels after winning 4 straight road games. The Mariners are 5-8 over their last 13 games and are just 42-55 against the spread (ATS).

The Angels, who did lose the series-opener 11-0 on Thursday, have rebounded well, winning 2-1 Saturday and 6-5 on Friday. They have won 3 of their last 4 games, but are 4-9 over their last 13. Los Angeles is 53-42 ATS and has consistently struggled at home (21-29).

Mariners at Angels projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Carson Fulmer

Gilbert (6-5, 2.94 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 125 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 8-3 road win over the San Diego Padres Tuesday
  • 2024 away splits: 4-2, 2.84 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 8 HR, 7.3 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. Angels: 4-2, 4.57 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 42 H, 9 HR, 13BB, 51 K in 8 starts

Fulmer (0-2, 3.83 ERA) makes his 1st start after 25 relief appearances. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 42 1/3 IP.

  • Last appearance: 3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 9-4 home loss to the Texas Rangers Monday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-0, 2.57 ERA (21 IP, 6 ER), 0.81 WHIP, 2 HR, 9.0 K/9 in 12 appearances
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-0, 4.50 ERA (8 IP, 4 ER), 9 H, 1 HR, 5 BB, 6 K in 3 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mariners at Angels odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -174 (bet $174 to win $100) | Angels +146 (bet $100 to win $146)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (-102) | Angels +1.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Angels 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Mariners are a strong, rightful favorite, and at -174, they are too expensive to play on the moneyline. Pass on the Angels’ winning streak continuing as well.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ANGELS +1.5 (-118).

The Mariners have been a streaky team. Since June 29, they have a 4-game and a pair of 2-game losing streaks and a 2-game and 3-game winning streak. They are just 3-5 ATS over their last 8 games and just 24-38 ATS as a favorite.

Meanwhile, the Angels are 21-18 ATS after a win. As an underdog, which teams typically have a higher covering rate as, the Angels sit in the top half of the league at 49-33 ATS. Despite the pitching advantage, the Mariners haven’t often taken advantage of Gilbert’s excellence on the mound.

Considering those trends, back ANGELS +1.5 (-118) to keep things close.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-110).

Both teams have been trending toward more runs as of late. The Angels have scored at least 4 runs in 4 of their last 6 games and are 4-1-1 O/U in those. Los Angeles has allowed at least 5 runs in 5 of its last 7.

The Mariners are 5-2 O/U in their last 7 games and have scored at least 4 as well in 5 of their last 7. With that in mind, back OVER 8.5 (-110).

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