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The Toronto Blue Jays (43-52) and Arizona Diamondbacks (49-47) wrap up a 3-game set at Chase Field Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0
After taking the Friday opener 5-4 as +107 underdogs, the Diamondbacks won 12-1 as -130 favorites Saturday — the Over cashed in both games. RF Corbin Carroll hit 2 homers and had 6 RBIs in Saturday’s victory, while rookie SP Yilber Díaz yielded just 1 run on 4 hits and 2 walks in 6 innings for his 1st career win — in just his 2nd MLB outing.
Blue Jays SP José Berríos allowed 4 or more runs for a 3rd straight time in taking the loss. While Toronto has lost back-to-back games, it is still 4-3 over its last 7 games.
Blue Jays at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Zac Gallen
Kikuchi (4-8, 4.00 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 101 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 13 K in 4-3 loss at San Francisco Giants Tuesday
- 2024 road stats: 2-2, 3.74 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 9 starts
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-1, 3.45 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 3 starts, including 0-0 with 1.93 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last year
Gallen (6-5, 3.33 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 73 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-2 home defeat to Atlanta Braves Tuesday
- 2024 home stats: 4-3, 2.36 ERA (42 IP, 11 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 7 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 1 road start (July 15, 2023), loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 5-2 defeat
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Blue Jays at Diamondback odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Diamondbacks -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-160) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Blue Jays at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
The DIAMONDBACKS (-155) should complete the sweep against the Blue Jays, who have been outscored 17-5 so far in this series.
Kikuchi has lost 3 straight decisions, and Toronto is 0-5 in his last 5 starts. While Gallen did give up 4 earned runs in his last outing — Tuesday at Atlanta — he has allowed 1 run or fewer in 4 of his 7 home starts this season.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-155).
Run line/Against the spread
Arizona -1.5 (+135) may hit, but expecting the Diamondbacks to beat the Blue Jays by multiple runs in back-to-back games is a tough ask. However, laying -160 to bet the Blue Jays +1.5 is also a little expensive.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
Kikuchi has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in back-to-back outings, while Gallen has given up an average of 1.57 runs per game in 7 home starts this year. Toronto is also the 24th-ranked offense in MLB this season, averaging just 4.02 runs per game.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).
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