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The Seattle Mariners (51-43) and Los Angeles Angels (38-54) open a 4-game set at Angel Stadium Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 3-0
The Mariners are coming off back-to-back wins at the San Diego Padres. After winning the Tuesday opener 8-3, they wrapped up the 2-game set with a 2-0 victory Wednesday as +132 underdogs with the Under (8) hitting. RHP Bryce Miller allowed just 5 hits in 6 scoreless IP.
The Angels avoided a 3-game sweep against the Texas Rangers in Anaheim, winning 7-2 as +117 underdogs in the series finale Wednesday as the total (9) pushed. SS Zach Neto and CF Mickey Moniak each hit a HR for L.A., which is just 2-8 in its last 10 games.
Mariners at Angels projected starters
RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Jack Kochanowicz
Castillo (7-9, 3.72 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 111 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Toronto Blue Jays Friday
- 2024 road stats: 2-6, 4.59 ERA (51 IP, 26 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 9 starts
- 2024 vs. Angels: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP), 2 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 5-1 home win June 2
- Career vs. Angels: 4-1, 3.30 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 12.0 K/9 in 7 starts
Kochanowicz makes his MLB debut Thursday.
- Has thrown 2 complete games in his last 3 starts with Double-A Rocket City
- 2024 stats with Double-A Rocket City: 5-6, 4.55 ERA (91 IP, 46 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 16 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mariners at Angels odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Angels +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (-105) | Angels +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mariners at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Angels 3
Moneyline
The MARINERS (-165) have won back-to-back games, and Castillo should have no trouble outplaying a 23-year-old making his MLB debut. The Mariners swept the Angels in a 3-game series May 31-June 2, while L.A. has been disappointing for bettors lately, having won just 2 of its last 10 outings.
BET MARINERS (-165).
Run line/Against the spread
The Mariners have the 28th-ranked in offense in MLB (3.83 runs per game) and are just 8-14 on the run line as favorites this season. However, I also don’t want to back the struggling Angels to keep it close with a rookie making his debut on the mound.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
The Under is 31-17-2 this season when Seattle is coming off a win and 30-23-1 when L.A. is coming off a loss. Despite Kochanowicz making his MLB debut, I don’t expect Seattle to score a lot of runs, and Castillo was dominant against the Angels in the June 2 meeting (0 R in 7 IP).
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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