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The Houston Astros (46-42) and Minnesota Twins (49-39) meet Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Target Field is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
Houston escaped with a 13-12 win over Minnesota Friday as a +132 road underdog. The Astros have won each of their last 3 games, scoring 9 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 wins.
Minnesota scored 7 runs in the bottom of the 9th to make the game interesting, but Houston’s lead was simply too much to overcome. The Twins have lost 2 of their last 3.
Astros at Twins projected starters
RHP Hunter Brown vs. RHP Joe Ryan
Brown (6-5, 4.07 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 86 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 3-1 victory at Toronto Blue Jays Monday
- Career vs. Minnesota: 1-1, 4.08 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 13 H, 5 BB, 22 K in 3 starts
Ryan (5-5, 3.21 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 103 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 5-3 win at Seattle Mariners Sunday
- Career vs. Houston: 1-3, 8.53 ERA (19 IP, 18 ER), 19 H, 11 BB, 23 K across 4 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Astros at Twins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-190) | Twins -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Astros at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 6, Twins 3
Moneyline
BET ASTROS (+110).
Houston is the much hotter team at 8-2 in its last 10 games overall and 6-1 in its last 7 on the road, while the Twins are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and have dropped 2 of their last 3 at home.
The Astros are also 3-0 in their last 3 matchups vs. the Twins in Minnesota.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I expect the Astros to cover +1.5 (-190), but they are not worth the risk of betting on as the line is currently set. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-110).
The Over has hit in 5 straight games for Minnesota and is 8-2 in its last 10. For Houston, the Over is 3-1 in its last 4 games and 6-3-1 in its last 10. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 meetings in Minnesota.
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