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The Houston Astros (43-42) and Toronto Blue Jays (39-46) meet Wednesday for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Houston leads 3-2
Toronto almost blew a 7-0 lead and escaped with the 7-6 win over Houston Tuesday while covering as a -109 home favorite. The win ended a 2-game skid for Toronto, including a 3-1 loss in Monday’s series opener.
The loss ended a 3-game win streak for the Astros. RHP Spender Arrighetti allowed 6 ER, 6 H, 4 BB with 5 K in 4 IP to take the loss.
Astros at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Ronel Blanco vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi
Blanco (8-3, 2.49 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 90 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 7-2 loss vs. the New York Mets Friday
- Career vs. Toronto: 1-0, 1.15 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 6 BB, 12 K in3 appearances (2 starts)
Kikuchi (4-8, 4.18 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 88 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 16-5 loss vs. the New York Yankees Friday
- Career vs. Houston: 1-5, 6.27 ERA (60 1/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.64 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 13 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Astros at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:28 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+155) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Astros at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 5, Blue Jays 4
Moneyline
LEAN ASTROS (-105).
Houston is 3-1 in its last 4 road games and 8-2 in its last 10 overall while the Blue Jays are only 3-3 in their last 6 at home and 4-6 in their last 10 overall.
The Astros are also 2-1 in their last 3 matchups vs. Toronto. But be aware the Blue Jays are 4-2 in its last 6 meetings with the Astros in Toronto.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I expect the Blue Jays to cover here, especially with how solid they’ve been vs. Houston at home, but a line set at +1.5 (-190) is far too risky to bet on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-105).
The Over has hit in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10. For Toronto, the Over is 5-1 in its last 6 home games and is 8-1-1 in its last 10 overall.
Be aware that the Under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 Houston-Toronto matchups.
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