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The Connecticut Sun (13-1) and Las Vegas Aces (7-6) meet Friday at Michelob Ultra Arena at Mandalay Bay. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (ION). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sun vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting; Aces won 2-1 in 2023
The Sun have posted 4 consecutive victories since falling 82-75 at home to the New York Liberty, the team’s only setback of the season. Connecticut won the last time out, 79-70 on Tuesday, although the Los Angeles Sparks posted the cover as a double-digit underdog (+13.5) with the Under connecting (153.5).
The Aces are coming off a 94-83 win over the Seattle Storm on Wednesday night, as Jackie Young rolled up 32 points. She has been on a scoring binge lately, going for 32 or more points in 2 of the past 3 outings, while averaging 25.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.0 steals per game in the past 3 contests.
Sun at Aces odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Sun +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Aces -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Sun +5.5 (+100) | Aces -5.5 (-130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Sun at Aces picks and predictions
Prediction
Sun 88, Aces 83
Moneyline
CONNECTICUT (+170) has the best record in the WNBA, yet it is a rather substantial underdog in Las Vegas (-210). Take advantage.
The Sun has won all 5 games on the road this season, and defense is a major reason for the team’s overall success. Connecticut leads the league with just 70.7 points per game (PPG) allowed, exactly 4 points less than the next nearest team, the Minnesota Lynx.
The Aces are the top offensive team in the league with 87.4 PPG, so it won’t be easy for the Sun. But Connecticut is playing much better basketball, and it’s a great value at this price point.
Against the spread
CONNECTICUT +5.5 (+100) is worth playing at even-money if you can’t bring yourself to bet it straight up.
Las Vegas -5.5 (-130) is a little on the pricey side laying the points, and it has failed to cover the past 5 outings. The Aces are also 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games at home.
For the Sun, they’ve covered 3 of the past 4 contests, while going 5-0 ATS in 5 road outings.
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Over/Under
OVER 163.5 (-110) is a strong play in Friday’s late-window game.
The total has gone high in 3 of the past 5 games for Connecticut, while also going 3-2 in 5 outings on the road this season.
As far as Las Vegas is concerned, the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings, while going 4-2 in the past 6 outings at home.
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