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The Boston Red Sox (39-35) and Toronto Blue Jays (35-38) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 2-0
Boston has won 4 games in a row after taking down Toronto 4-3 Tuesday to cash as a -130 road favorite. CF Cedanne Rafaela hit a go-ahead RBI single in the 8th inning, 1 of his 3 hits on the night. LF Tyler O’Neill, who homered earlier in the 8th, scored twice as Boston won its 3rd straight series.
The Blue Jays have lost back-to-back games after Tuesday’s setback as +120 home underdogs. Blue Jays 3B Ernie Clement led the way on offense with a 2-run double in the 2nd inning, while LHP Brendon Little allowed 2 ER in the 8th and picked up the loss.
Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Kevin Gausman
Bello (6-4, 5.00 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 63 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 8-1 home defeat against New York Yankees Friday
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 1-3, 6.00 ERA (24 IP, 16 ER), 1.75 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 in 5 starts, including 1-1 with 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts last year
Gausman (5-5, 4.08 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 75 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 3-1 home setback against Cleveland Guardians Friday
- Career vs. Red Sox: 7-9, 4.44 ERA (131 2/3 IP, 65 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 23 starts and 5 relief appearances, including 0-1 with 10.80 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 10 ER) in 2 starts in 2023
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 4
Moneyline
BET RED SOX (+110).
Boston has won 7 of its last 10 games, including each of its last 4 overall and each of its last 3 on the road. It has won 2 straight against Toronto and allowed 3 runs in each of its last 3 games while scoring 7 or more in 3 of its last 4. Toronto is just 2-4 in its last 6 games and has scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 8.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-105).
Boston has hit the Over in 5 of its last 7 games. It has scored 7 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games and 6 or more in 6 of its last 9. It has allowed 3 or more runs in each of its last 10 games.
Toronto has hit the Over in 2 of its last 3 games and has scored 3 or more runs in 8 of its last 10, including 4 straight.
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