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The New York Mets (33-37) and Texas Rangers (33-38) meet Monday as they open a 3-game series in Arlington. First pitch in Monday’s lid-lifter at Globe Life Field will be at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Rangers won 2-1 last year
New York stayed on a roll over the weekend, sweeping 3 games from the San Diego Padres and running a win streak to 5 games. Since June 3, the Mets are 9-2.
The Rangers have been trending the other way of late. They were swept in a 3-game set at the Seattle Mariners and are 3-6 over their last 9 games and 11-21 across their last 32.
Mets at Rangers projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Jon Gray
Peterson (2-0, 4.32 ERA) is making his 4th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 3.2 K/9 in 16 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 10-4 home victory vs. Miami Marlins Wednesday
- Career vs. Rangers: 1-0, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 4-3 home victory July 1, 2022
- Missed all of April and most of May after having offseason hip surgery
Gray (2-2, 2.17 ERA) is tabbed for his 12th start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 3-2 win at Los Angeles Dodgers Wednesday
- Career vs. Mets: 1-3, 7.41 ERA (34 IP, 28 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 7 starts, including 0-0 with 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last year
- Has yielded 1.53 ERA on .588 OPS across his last 58 2/3 IP
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rangers -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-185) | Rangers -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Mets at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Rangers 4
Moneyline
New York is over .500 (15-14) in road games and is clearly the club in better form (5-0 in last 5 overall). Texas has lost 5 straight series openers.
The Mets figure to be better than what shows in their won-loss record. And that still holds true, even after winning 5 straight. Their offense has found a power groove: In going 9-2 since June 3, New York has cranked out a .472 slugging percentage.
Gray’s season numbers are buoyed by a .263 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations.
Look for the Mets to have a near-50% chance in this one. So, the NEW YORK (+115) play has value.
Run line/Against the spread
There’s more juice and less value here. PASS.
Over/Under
Home and road splits for both clubs make for a lean on the Over for this matchup. The Mets, in particular, have been much more impressive offensively when on the road (.769 OPS).
TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-110).
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