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The Boston Red Sox (37-35) and Toronto Blue Jays (35-36) meet for the opener of a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Boston won 7-6 last season
Boston beat the New York Yankees 9-3 Sunday while covering as a +125 home underdog. The Red Sox led 4-3 and then scored 5 runs in the 7th and 8th innings to put the game away. Boston has won back-to-back games.
Toronto won 7-6 over the Cleveland Guardians Sunday as a -112 home favorite. RHP Jose Berrios picked up the win (6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 1 K). The Guardians have won 2 straight games.
Red Sox at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Nick Pivetta vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi
Pivetta (3-4, 3.88 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in an 8-6 win over the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
- Career vs. Toronto: 2-4, 5.35 ERA (79 IP, 47 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 15 appearances (13 starts)
Kikuchi (4-5, 3.26 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 77 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 3-0 win in Milwaukee Tuesday
- Career vs. Boston: 0-2, 6.11 ERA (28 IP, 19 ER), 30 H, 12 BB, 24 K in 7 appearances (5 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Red Sox at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Red Sox at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 3, Red Sox 2
Moneyline
LEAN BLUE JAYS (-130).
Toronto has won back-to-back games and is 3-1 in its last 4 home games while the Red Sox are only 1-2 in their last 3 on the road. The Blue Jays have also won 6 straight vs. Boston.
This is only a lean because Boston has won 4 of its last 5 and is 6-4 in its last 10 games.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I fully expect Boston to cover here as a +1.5 (-190) underdog, but this line is far too risky. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
The Under has hit in 2 of Toronto’s last 3 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10. For Boston, the Under is 34-32-6 on the season. The Under has also hit in each of the last 3 meetings and is 4-2 in the last 6 games played in Toronto.
Be aware that the Over is 7-2-1 in Boston’s last 10 games.
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