Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (44-24) and Toronto Blue Jays (34-36) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is slated for 1:37 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1; Cleveland won 3-1 Friday and lost 5-0 Saturday

The Guardians were shut out Saturday for the 1st time since May 15. RHP Carlos Carrasco gave up 5 ER on 6 hits over 5 IP while DH Steve Kwan went 3-for-4 in the loss. Cleveland is 4-3 on their 8-game road trip which wraps up on Sunday afternoon.

Toronto used 6 pitchers to shut down the Guardians offense and record its 3rd shutout in the last 7 games. RHP Bowden Francis earned the victory with 4 scoreless innings (4 H, 2 K) while SS Isiah Kiner-Falefa went 2-for-3 with an RBI.

Guardians at Blue Jays projected starters

RHP Ben Lively vs. RHP Jose Berrios

Lively (6-2, 2.59 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 55 2/3 IP.

  • Has won 5 straight starts
  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 8-0 victory at Miami Marlins on June 8
  • 2024 road splits: 3-2, 3.09 ERA (32 IP, 11 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 6 starts

Berrios (5-5, 2.93 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 86 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-1 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Monday
  • Career vs. Guardians: 5-5, 4.73 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 49 ER), 79 H, 32 BB, 83 K in 17 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Guardians at Blue Jays odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays +-130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-196) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+162)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Guardians at Blue Jays picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 5, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline.

BET GUARDIANS +110.

Despite the loss on Saturday, the Guardians are a strong road team with a 23-16 record away from Cleveland and have won 3 of their last 4 Sunday games. They also have a dominant record in day games at 17-6.

Lively may be the hottest pitcher in baseball, winning 5 straight starts and 6 of his last 7. He’s allowed only 5 ER over his last 4 starts (23 1/3 IP). Meanwhile, Berrios has not won a decision since May 20.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll save my wager for the moneyline in this game.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-108).

The trends have me loving this bet. These teams are 3-7 to the Over in their last 10 meetings, including this series. Cleveland is also 2-8 to the Over in its last 10 games overall while Toronto is 2-7-1. The Blue Jays score under 4 runs per game on the season.

Lively hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any start this season. Berrios has allowed 3 ER or less in his last 6 starts.

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