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The Oakland A’s (26-44) and Minnesota Twins (36-32) open a 4-game series at Target Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Twins won 5-1 in 2023
The A’s have dropped 5 in a row, including a 3-game sweep in San Diego against the Padres Monday through Wednesday to kick off the current 7-game road trip.
The A’s offense surprised the Braves in Atlanta with 11 runs in a win June 1, but Oakland has managed just 20 runs in the past 10 games since, or 2.0 runs per game (RPG). The Under is 8-2 in that 10-game span.
The Twins took 2 of 3 against the visiting Colorado Rockies to start the week, including a 17-9 win Wednesday which looked more like a Broncos-Vikings score, or something you might see at Coors Field.
Minnesota has won 3 of the past 4 outings since getting blanked in back-to-back games in Pittsburgh June 7-8. Minnesota has 37 runs in the 4-game span, averaging 9.3 RPG while allowing 4.8 RPG. It’s no surprise the Over is 3-1 in the stretch.
A’s at Twins projected starters
RHP Luis Medina vs. RHP Joe Ryan
Medina (0-1, 5.23 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 6.1 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 10 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H (1 HR), 5 BB, 1 K in 7-0 home setback vs. Toronto Blue Jays Saturday
- 2024 road stats: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (5 2/3 IP), 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 3-1 loss at Braves June 2
Ryan (4-5, 3.30 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 79 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 2 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 8 K in 3-0 road defeat vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
- 2024 home splits: 2-3, 4.29 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 0.95 WHIP, .221 OBA, 5 HR, 4 BB, 40 K in 6 starts
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A’s at Twins odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): A’s +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -245 (bet $245 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (-102) | Twins -1.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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A’s at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, A’s 2
Moneyline
The Twins (-245) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s not a recommended betting strategy, whether as a standalone wager or as part of a multi-team parlay.
PASS, and look to the run line instead.
Run line/Against the spread
The TWINS -1.5 (-118) are much more reasonably priced on the run line in this series opener.
Minnesota has won 3 of the past 4 games, and each of those wins have come by 5 or more runs. So, if you like the Twins, you should like them to cash on the run line, too.
In fact, the A’s have managed just 2.0 RPG in the past 10 outings, so playing ALTERNATE LINE – TWINS -2.5 (+136) isn’t a bad idea. If you’re a little more adventurous, ALTERNATE LINE – TWINS -3.5 (+210), for a chance to more than double up, is also not a terrible idea.
Over/Under
UNDER 8 (-110) is a strong play, based mostly on Oakland’s inability to cobble together much offense lately.
The Under is 8-2 in the past 10 games for the A’s while going 10-4-1 in the past 15 outings on the road.
For the Twins, the Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings, but the Under has outpaced the Over at a 9-6 clip in the previous 15 contests.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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