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The Arizona Diamondbacks (25-28) and Texas Rangers (25-29) open a 2-game series at Globe Life Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Texas beat Arizona 4-1 in last year’s World Series
Arizona is coming off a 3-1 loss as a -125 home favorite vs. the Miami Marlins Sunday with the Under (9) hitting for a 4th consecutive Diamondbacks game. Arizona dropped 2 of 3 games to Miami over the weekend, scoring a total of just 4 runs during that stretch.
The Rangers avoided a 3-game sweep with a 6-2 win as +149 underdogs at the Minnesota Twins Sunday. SS Corey Seager hit 2 HRs and the total (8) pushed, ending a 3-0 run to the Under for Texas.
The Diamondbacks won last year’s regular-season series 3-1.
Diamondbacks at Rangers projected starters
RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Dane Dunning
Pfaadt (2-3, 4.05 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 60 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-3 victory at Los Angeles Dodgers May 21
- 2024 road stats: 1-1, 4.34 ERA (29 IP, 14 ER), 1.07 WHIP in 5 starts
- 2023 World Series vs. Rangers: 0-1, 3.27 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 4 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 3-1 home loss Oct. 30
- Career vs. Rangers (regular season): 0-0, 13.50 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 12-7 road victory in his MLB debut May 3, 2023
Dunning (3-3, 4.43 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 40 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 3 ER (5 R), 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 11-4 setback at Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
- 2024 home stats: 1-2, 4.41 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.04 WHIP in 3 starts
- 2023 World Series vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (2 1/3 IP), 1.71 WHIP in 3 relief appearances
- Career vs. Diamondbacks (regular season): 1-0, 2.84 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 5-4 home win July 27, 2021
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Diamondbacks at Rangers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Rangers +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+132) | Rangers +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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Diamondbacks at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Rangers 3
Moneyline
The DIAMONDBACKS (-120) opening as favorites on the road over the defending World Series champs after dropping 2 of 3 against Miami shows how drastic their pitching advantage is in this series opener.
Pfaadt has given up a total of just 8 ER over his last 6 starts. Dunning has allowed 3 or more ER in 5 of his 8 starts this season and hasn’t pitched more than 5 1/3 innings in an outing since April 7.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks scored just a single run against Miami last time out, so betting them to win by 2 or more seems a little aggressive. However, Texas +1.5 (-160) also isn’t being offered at an attractive price.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
Texas is the 3rd-best Under bet in MLB this season at 31-21-2 (59.6%). The Under is 9-3-1 in the Rangers’ last 13 games, and they’ve scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9.
Arizona struggled to score over the weekend against Miami, which is 27th in MLB with a 4.60 team ERA, so neither offense should be trusted in this spot to help the Over hit.
BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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