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The New York Yankees (27-15) and Minnesota Twins (24-16) clash in a Tuesday showdown, as they open a 3-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: 1st meeting; Minnesota took the 2023 series 4-3
New York is continuing a road trip that opened over the weekend in Florida where the Yankees took 2 of 3 from the Tampa Bay Rays. The Yanks are 7-2 over their last 9 games.
The Twins were at the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend. They took 2 of 3 from Toronto and are 4-1 across their last 5.
Yankees at Twins projected starters
LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Chris Paddack
Rodon (3-2, 3.56 ERA) is lined up for his 9th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 43 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 9-4 win vs. Houston Astros Wednesday
- Career vs. Twins: 6-3, 4.62 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 63 H, 28 BB, 73 K in 12 games (11 starts)
Paddack (4-1, 4.34 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He owns a 1.50 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 37 1/3 IP.
- Last outing: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-3 win vs. Seattle Mariners Wednesday
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 7.20 ERA (5 IP, 4 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K
- Has a 1.93 ERA while yielding a .619 OPS over his last 4 starts
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Yankees at Twins odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:31 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Twins +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+116) | Twins +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)
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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, Yankees 4
Moneyline
Since April 22, the Twins are 9-2 at home.
Paddack is on a nice roll, and Rodon’s ERA figures as one fortunately tamped down by some generous rates around the margins. And over those last 11 games at home, Minnesota has bludgeoned foes by a combined score of 61-37.
Rodon has often struggled in road games, where he has logged a 4.73 ERA since 2022.
BACK THE TWINS (+116).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS: Better value can be found on the ML.
Over/Under
The Over has cashed in 7 of the last 9 New-York Minnesota games at Target Field. The Over is 6-2 in New York’s last 8 games.
The Yankee bullpen throws fade into the pitching mix in this game. Its tidy 2.69 surface ERA is heavily influenced by a .246 batting average on balls in play.
On a slim-to-moderate lean, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (+100).
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