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The Miami Marlins (10-26) and Los Angeles Dodgers (23-13) kick off a 3-game series Monday at Dodger Stadium (MLB Network/ESPN+). First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; split last season 3-3
The Marlins salvaged the final game Sunday in Oakland, winning 12-3. It was a nice comeback after getting punished 20-4 in Saturday’s game in a battle of southpaws. The Marlins are still 4-2 in the past 6 games despite that embarrassment over the weekend, and the Over is 3-1 in the past 4 outings and on a 7-2 run in the past 9 contests.
The Marlins also made headlines this past weekend, trading All-Star 2B Luis Arraez to the San Diego Padres, as apparently another fire sale is on the horizon in South Florida.
The Dodgers made a giant statement over the weekend, posting a 3-game sweep of the rival Atlanta Braves. Los Angeles outscored Atlanta 20-6 in the thorough beatdown. Unlike the Marlins, runs have been at a premium for the opposition of the Dodgers, with L.A. allowing just 25 runs in the past 13 games.
Marlins at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Roddery Munoz vs. RHP Walker Buehler
Munoz (1-0, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.73 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 11 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K (67 pitches) in 4-1 home win vs. Colorado Rockies Wednesday
- Last road start: 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H (2 solo HR), 1 BB, 7 K in 5-3 road loss vs. Chicago Cubs April 20 in his MLB debut
Buehler (6-3, 4.02 ERA) makes his first start since 2022 after a 23-month layoff due to Tommy John surgery.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H (1 HR), 0 BB, 6 K in 7-2 road loss vs. San Francisco Giants June 10, 2022
- 2022 stats: 6-3, 4.02 ERA (65 IP, 29 ER), 1.29 WHIP in 12 starts
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Marlins at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:24 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Dodgers -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+120) | Dodgers -1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Marlins at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Marlins 3
Moneyline
You just can’t back the Dodgers (-300) laying 3 times your potential return.
That’s risky betting behavior anyway, but especially with a guy making his first start since June 2022. Buehler is making his way back, he’ll likely be eased into things, and the Marlins (+240) are using a hard-throwing pitcher with plenty of gas.
AVOID.
Run line/Against the spread
The MARLINS +1.5 (+120) are a solid play at plus-money. We don’t know how effective Buehler is going to be, although he faces a rather toothless Miami lineup, and now Arraez is playing his baseball in San Diego.
The Dodgers -1.5 (-145) will have their hands full with Munoz, who has pitched well in his first 2 appearances, though.
Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the way to go, as Munoz has kept scores low, and Buehler faces the perfect offense to ease back into action after a long layoff. Los Angeles is on a 7-3 run to the Under, and that is what is driving this play.
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