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The Baltimore Orioles (22-11) and Cincinnati Reds (16-17) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 2-0
Baltimore looks to sweep the Reds on Sunday after winning 2-1 on Saturday after a 3-0 win on Friday. RHP John Means looked like his old self on Saturday, striking out 8 over 7 scoreless innings. C Adley Rutschman had a 3-hit night including a solo HR. The Orioles pitching staff has not allowed more than 2 runs in its last 5 games (2 shutouts).
The Reds wasted another solid pitching performance from LHP Andrew Abbott, who struck out 8 Orioles over 5 IP allowing just 2 runs. The only offense Cincinnati could produce was an RBI single from LF Spencer Steer in the bottom of the 9th. The Reds have now dropped 6 of their last 8.
Orioles at Reds projected starters
RHP Dean Kremer vs. LHP Nick Lodolo
Kremer (2-2, 4.19 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 34 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 4 K in a 4-2 win over the New York Yankees Tuesday
- Only start vs Reds: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 8-2 road loss on July 30, 2022
Lodolo (3-0, 1.88 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 24 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 11 K in a 5-2 win at the San Diego Padres Monday
- Only start vs Orioles: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 3-2 home victory on July 31, 2022
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Orioles at Reds odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday 12:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Reds -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+158) | Reds +1.5 (-192)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: -102)
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Orioles at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 3, Orioles 2
Moneyline
BET REDS (-112).
Baltimore’s pitching has been superb and while that should continue on Sunday, Cincinnati will get just enough offense to avoid the sweep at home. The Reds have won 2 of their last 3 Sunday games.
Typically, I’d love the Orioles against the southpaw, but they struggled against Abbott on Saturday. Lodolo is a much better pitcher in my eyes; the K-per-9 rate ranks inside the top 5 in the Major Leagues.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I’m going to focus my bet on the moneyline and not worry about the run line in this game.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-102).
All of the trends are begging you to bet the Under in this one and I’m going to listen. Orioles games have had 9 or fewer runs in 7 straight, while the Reds have been Under 9 total runs in 5 of their last 6 games.
Lodolo has allowed more than 1 run in 1 of his 4 starts this season. Kremer has allowed 3 or less runs 5 of his 6 starts this season.
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