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The New York Yankees (20-12) and Baltimore Orioles (19-11) conclude their 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 2-1
After dropping the 1st 2 games of this series, the Yankees won 2-0 on Wednesday night as RHP Luis Gil shut down the Orioles over 6 1/3 innings and 3B Oswaldo Cabrera hit a 2-run HR.
The Orioles were held to just 3 hits and shut out for the 1st time this season as New York handed RHP Corbin Burnes his 1st loss in 6 starts.
Yankees at Orioles projected starters
LHP Carlos Rodon vs. TBD, likely LHP Cole Irvin
Rodon (2-1, 2.48 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 32 2/3 IP
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 15-3 win at the Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
- Career vs Orioles: 0-2, 4.37 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 11 ER) in 5 games (4 starts)
Irvin (2-1, 3.49 ERA) may make his 6th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 in 28.1 IP
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-0 win at the Oakland A’s on April 27
- 2024 home splits: 1-1, 3.24 ERA, 16 IP, 17 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 12 K
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Yankees at Orioles odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:31 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | Orioles +114 (bet $100 to win $114)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+118) | Orioles +1.5 (-142)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Yankees 3
Moneyline.
BET ORIOLES (+114).
It’s hard not to like Baltimore to bounce back on Thursday in the series finale. They were shut out for the 1st time this season on Wednesday night, and they have to be steaming especially against their hated division rival. In this game, they get a left hander on the mound which they’ve been beating up all season to the tune of a nearly .800 OPS.
You’ve got to love the trends as well, the Orioles are 7-4 against southpaws, 11-7 at home and 10-5 in day games. Take those nice plus odds right to the bank.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I’m going to focus my bet on the moneyline and not worry about the run line in this one.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-105).
All 3 games in this series have gone Under the total and I truly don’t see that changing in this game. The Orioles have scored at least 3 runs in 3 of their 4 starts against Rodon but he does have 2.48 ERA on the season.
If Irvin doesn’t get the start, the Orioles may turn to RHP Kyle Bradish, who shut down the Yankees in his last outing against New York in 2023.
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