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The Kansas City Royals (18-13) and Toronto Blue Jays (15-16) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 3:07 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Royals vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
Kansas City beat Toronto 4-1 Tuesday while covering as a +113 road underdog to end a 3-game losing streak. LHP Cole Ragans picked up the win with 6 2/3 IP, allowing 4 H, 1 ER, 3 BB and 9 K.
The Blue Jays struggled at the plate Tuesday, only getting 4 hits and 4 total bases while striking out 11 times. Toronto is 3-7 in its last 10 games.
Royals at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Lugo (4-1, 1.66 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 38 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 9 K in an 8-0 win vs. the Detroit Tigers Friday
- Career vs. Toronto: 2-1, 2.70 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 13 H, 1 BB, 13 K in 1 start and 5 relief appearances
Bassitt (2-4, 5.64 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.85 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 30 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 4 K in a 12-2 loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
- Career vs. Kansas City: 1-1, 3.82 ERA (33 IP, 14 ER), 33 H, 12 BB, 24 K across 6 starts
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Royals at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:49 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Royals +1.5 (-185) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Royals at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 4, Blue Jays 2
Moneyline
LEAN ROYALS (+110).
The Royals are the hotter team, being 5-3 in their last 8 games while the Blue Jays are only 3-7 in their last 10. KC has also won 4 of its last 5 matchups vs. Toronto, but be aware that the Blue Jays have a 6-4 lead in the last 10 meetings.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I like Kansas City to cover here as a +1.5 (-185) underdog, but the line is too heavy to risk betting on with it being set at -185. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).
The Under has hit in 3 of Toronto’s last 4 games overall and is 7-3 in its last 10 outings. For Kansas City, the Under is 2-1 in its last 3 games and is 7-2-1 in its last 10. The Under has also hit in 7 of the last 8 Kansas City-Toronto matchups.
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