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The New York Yankees (17-10) and Milwaukee Brewers (17-8) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series at American Family Field Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 1-0
The Yankees, who were -134 favorites, lost 7-6 in the series opener Friday with the Over (9) hitting in Milwaukee. New York has lost 2 straight for the 1st time since a 3-game skid from April 14-16.
Four runs were driven in by 3B Joey Ortiz of the Brewers, who cashed as +124 underdogs. He walked it off with an RBI single in the 11th to give Milwaukee its 3rd straight win.
Yankees at Brewers projected starters
LHP Carlos Rodón vs. RHP Joe Ross
Rodón (1-1, 2.70 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 26 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 2-0 home loss vs. Oakland A’s Monday
- Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 3.27 ERA (11 IP, 4 ER), 1.82 WHIP in 3 starts
Ross (1-2, 4.05 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 20 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-2 loss at Pittsburgh Pirates Monday
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 3-2 road loss with Washington Nationals May 9, 2021
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Yankees at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
While I like the Yankees to bounce back after losing 2 straight games, I’m more confident in Rodón’s ability to limit the Brewers offense in the 1st 5 innings. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in a start this season and pitched 7 scoreless innings last time out.
BET YANKEES FIRST 5 INNINGS (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
Taking the Yankees to win by multiple runs after back-to-back losses seems a little aggressive, and Brewers +1.5 is too expensive at -165.
PASS. Bet New York in the 1st 5 innings and/or the total instead.
Over/Under
If Rodón picks up where he left off against the A’s, then it’s unlikely that the Brewers will score more than 3 runs. Add in the fact that the Yankees have scored 4 or fewer in 6 of their last 11 games, and we have a decent shot at seeing fewer than 8.5 runs Saturday.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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