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The New York Yankees (5-1) and Arizona Diamondbacks (4-2) meet in a Wednesday matinee as they put a lid on a 3-game series in Phoenix. First pitch in the contest at Chase Field will be at 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Yankees suffered their 1st loss of the season Tuesday, getting blown out 7-0. They were held to just 3 hits and had just 1 base runner reach 2nd base.
The Diamondbacks own a high-contact .305/.385/.480 slash line through 6 games. They have drawn 4 or more walks in 4 of their last 5 games.
Yankees at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Merrill Kelly
Rodon (0-0, 2.08 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 4 K in 4 1/3 IP in his debut at the Houston Astros Friday.
- 2023 road stats: 2-4, 7.63 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 26 ER) in 7 starts
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-3, 5.53 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 19 H, 10 BB, 39 K in 5 starts
Kelly (1-0, 1.35 ERA) is making his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 0 BB with 8 K in 6 2/3 IP in his debut vs. the Colorado Rockies Friday.
- Owns a 3.78 ERA across 128 career games
- Has registered a 3.14 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 64 career games at Chase Field
- Career vs. Yankees: 1-0, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 2 starts
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Yankees at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Yankees at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 5, Yankees 4
Moneyline
Arizona is 5-2 over its last 7 home games against New York.
The Yanks head home for their home opener after this one and may be susceptible to checking out a few innings too early. Add in their Tuesday woes at the plate, and there is enough doubt in that dugout to make ARIZONA (-105) the play.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS: Better relative value can be found in the ML action for this one.
Over/Under
Kelly’s numbers have some fade in the expected-vs.-actual category. Rodon has had his troubles with Arizona and figures to have escaped his season debut more unscathed than he should have.
Both teams are filing solid 1st-week walk rates and have the extra-base power to hoist multiple crooked-number frames.
TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-115).
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