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The Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) face the Denver Broncos (2-5) Sunday in Week 8 NFL action. Kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chiefs won their 6th straight game in Week 7, beating the Los Angeles Chargers 31-17 and covering as 6-point home favorites. QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 424 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. He connected 12 times with TE Travis Kelce for 179 yards and a score while Kelce’s girlfriend, 12-time Grammy Award winner Taylor Swift, cheered him on from a suite.
Denver won its 2nd game of the season in Week 7, taking down the Green Bay Packers 19-17. QB Russell Wilson passed for 194 yards and 1 touchdown. The TD went to WR Courtland Sutton, who caught 6 balls for 76 yards. The Broncos rushing attack showed signs of life with 82 yards from RB Javonte Williams, which is his highest total of the season.
Kansas City has won 16 consecutive head-to-head matchups against the Broncos dating back to Sept. 17, 2015. The Chiefs won and covered the 10.5-point spread in their 1st game against Denver on Oct. 12.
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Chiefs at Broncos odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:43 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Broncos +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
- Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -7 (-110) | Broncos +7 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Chiefs at Broncos key injuries
Chiefs
- LB Nick Bolton (wrist) out
Broncos
- WR Brandon Johnson (hamstring) questionable
Chiefs at Broncos picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 27, Broncos 13
Moneyline
PASS.
The Chiefs will win this game, but I’m not going to take them at their -350 odds and nor should you. Look to the spread and total to make a bet on this one.
Against the spread
BET CHIEFS -7 (-110).
While I am confident the Chiefs will cover this number, I’d personally take the alternative line on BetMGM of -6.5 at -130 odds.
While the Chiefs did not score a lot, they did cover the 10.5-point spread in the 1st head-to-head meeting this season. Mahomes threw for 306 yards, and 124 of those went to Kelce.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 46 (-110).
These teams only scored a combined 27 points in their 1st meeting 2 weeks ago. They won’t score under 30 again, but they do not go over this total either. In general this season, the Under is hitting at an alarming rate.
Kansas City has gone under the total in 3 straight games coming into this one. Denver gave up 36.4 points per game over its 1st 5 but has cut that in half over its last 2.
The Chiefs offense has not been as prolific this season. This is the 1st year since 2017 that it is averaging fewer than 26 points per game.
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