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The Golden State Warriors (0-1) face the Sacramento Kings (1-0) Friday. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center is at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting of 2023; Warriors beat Kings 4-3 in 1st round of last season’s playoffs
The Warriors opened their season by failing to cover as 3-point home favorites in a 108-104 loss vs. the Phoenix Suns as the Under (235.5) hit Tuesday. G Stephen Curry led Golden State with 27 points, and G Chris Paul finished with 14 points and a game-high 9 assists in his Warriors debut.
The Kings covered as 2-point favorites with a 130-114 win at the Utah Jazz Wednesday as the Over (234) cashed. F Harrison Barnes had 33 points, and C Domantas Sabonis added 22 points and 12 rebounds.
The Warriors were 3-1 straight up and 1-3 against the spread (ATS) vs. the Kings in 4 regular season meetings in 2022-23. The Under went 2-1-1.
Warriors at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:34 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Kings -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +2.5 (-110) | Kings -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 238.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Warriors at Kings key injuries
Warriors
- F Draymond Green (ankle) out
Kings
- F Trey Lyles (calf) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Warriors at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Kings 118, Warriors 113
Moneyline
The Kings kicked off their season with a big win over Utah, while the Warriors faded late against a shorthanded Phoenix team missing G Bradley Beal.
Golden State was awful on the road in 2022-23, going 11-30 in the regular season. The Kings went 23-18 at home.
The Warriors did win their last 2 road games vs. Sacramento in the playoffs, but until they show consistency on the road — other than consistently bad — I’m not going to bet them to win, especially against 1 of the better teams in the Western Conference.
And with such a small spread, you get better value there.
PASS on the moneyline.
Against the spread
The Warriors were a dreadful 13-34 ATS on the road last season (including playoffs).
The Kings were only 20-24-1 ATS at home (including playoffs), but, again, until the Warriors show they are a different road team than last season, it is better to avoid betting them away from home.
BET KINGS -2.5 (-110).
Over/Under
In 2022-23, 3 of the 4 regular season meetings between the Warriors and Kings had fewer than 238 total points.
Four of the last 6 games between them in last season’s playoffs did not reach 235 total points.
BET UNDER 238.5 (-115).
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