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The Denver Broncos (2-2) and the Kansas City Chiefs (1-3) meet in a Week 6 matchup on Thursday Night Football at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Broncos vs. Chiefs odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Broncos were dumped 31-21 by the visiting New York Jets Sunday, and Denver failed to cover for the 3rd time in 3 home games. Overall, Denver is just 0-4-1 against the spread (ATS). The Over has cashed in each of the past 4 games for the Broncos, scoring 20 or more points, while allowing 28-plus points.
The Chiefs picked up a 27-20 victory on the road against the Minnesota Vikings, their 4th straight win since a 21-20 setback against the Detroit Lions on Thursday in Week 1. Kansas City is 3-1 ATS in the winning streak, averaging 30.3 points per game on offense and only 16.7 PPG on defense.
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Broncos at Chiefs odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:19 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Broncos +460 (bet $100 to win $460) | Chiefs -620 (bet $620 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Broncos +10.5 (-110) | Chiefs -10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Broncos at Chiefs key injuries
Broncos
- LB Baron Browning (knee) out
- LB Frank Clark (illness) out
- TE Greg Dulcich (hamstring) questionable
- DT D.J. Jones (knee) out
Chiefs
- DE George Karlaftis (hamstring) questionable
- TE Travis Kelce (ankle) questionable
- P Tommy Townsend (knee) questionable
Broncos at Chiefs picks and predictions
Prediction
Chiefs 34, Broncos 18
Moneyline
Kansas City (-620) will cost you more than 6 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive, either as a singular bet, or even as part of a multi-team parlay.
And while Denver (+460) is horrific, there is risk for the Chiefs with Kelce nursing an ankle injury with a quick turnaround from last week.
PASS.
Against the spread
KANSAS CITY -10.5 (-110) is worth a look at home, as Denver +10.5 (-110) has really struggled against the number, including failing to cover in its only game as an underdog in Miami in Week 3. However, be careful, as Denver has covered in 3 straight meetings.
The Chiefs have won a ridiculous 15 straight meetings, covering 10 of those outings. The last time the Broncos won in Kansas City was Sept. 17, 2015, which just happens to be the 20th birthday of QB Patrick Mahomes when he was a sophomore at Texas Tech. Yeah, it’s been a while.
Over/Under
OVER 47.5 (-105) is worth a look, as Denver’s defense has been horrific.
The Over has cashed in each of the past 3 meetings, with the Chiefs going for 27 or more points in each meeting, while allowing 24 or more points. The Over-Under has split in 2 home games for the Chiefs.
The Over has cashed in 4 straight games for the Broncos, scoring 26.3 PPG during the span. The defense has allowed 28 or more points during the 4-game stretch, too, including the 70-burger allowed in Miami.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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