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Inter Miami welcomes the Houston Dynamo to DRV PNK Stadium Wednesday for the final of the Lamar Hunt U.S. Open Cup. Kickoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter Miami vs. Houston odds, and make our best expert soccer picks and predictions.
F Lionel Messi will have a chance to win his 2nd cup since coming to Inter Miami this summer. Inter won the Leagues Cup by defeating Nashville SC in penalty kicks in August. To get to where they are in the U.S. Open Cup, they beat 3 USL sides, then Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati. The most impressive win was in penalty kicks on the road against the Eastern Conference-leading FCC. Inter sits 14th in the East, but has been a drastically improved side with Messi at the helm.
Houston has exceeded expectations in league play this season. It is 17-7-11 (11 losses) and has a +7 goal differential, having scored 42 and allowed 35. It had to go through 4 MLS teams and a USL side. The Dynamo beat Real Salt Lake 3-1 on Aug. 23 to advance to the final. Houston is led in scoring in MLS action by F Amine Bassi, who has 9 goals in 24 matches.
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Inter Miami vs. Houston odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Inter Miami -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Houston Dynamo +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Draw +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +120)
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Inter Miami vs. Houston picks and predictions
Prediction
Inter Miami 2, Houston Dynamo 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET INTER MIAMI (-115).
The Dynamo have been awful on the road this season. They are 10-3-2 at home and 2-4-9 on the road, and they will be playing a side that, if they had Messi all season, could be a top-3 team in the Eastern Conference.
Inter is 2-1-0 with Messi on the Cup roster. Even in the draw, Miami has had more expected goals than its opponent in each home match. Couple the star power of Messi and M Sergio Busquets along with the trends in this location and back INTER MIAMI (-115).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 2.5 (+120).
Houston has scored in just 2 of its last 6 road matches, and it has gone Under this total in 4 of its last 7 on the road. It just hasn’t performed well offensively away from home this season.
Inter has scored fewer than 3 goals in 4 of 7 matches since Messi’s arrival, and they have had 3 clean sheets in that span as well. With Messi potentially playing limited minutes, expect limited opportunities.
Take UNDER 2.5 (+120).
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