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The Arizona Diamondbacks (81-73) and the New York Yankees (78-76) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game series Sunday at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 1-0
The Diamondbacks suffered the 7-1 setback in the series opener Friday, and Saturday’s scheduled game was postponed due to torrential rains from Tropical Storm Ophelia. The weather forecast doesn’t look much brighter for Sunday, either, with a 75% chance of precipitation.
Arizona has dropped 3 of the past 4 interleague games, while dropping 4 straight games on the road.
The Yankees haven’t been eliminated from the postseason chase just yet, but analytics show a less than 0.1% chance of making the playoffs. OF Aaron Judge made history in the series opener, swatting 3 HR for the 2nd time this season, becoming the 1rst player in Yankees history to accomplish the feat twice in the same season.
New York has won 2 in a row, while going 8-4 in the past 12 games overall. In interleague play, the Yankees are 4-1 in the past 5 games, while going just 6-11 in the past 17 games at home.
Diamondbacks at Yankees projected starters
RHP Zac Gallen vs. LHP Carlos Rodon
Gallen (16-8, 3.60 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 197 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 8-4 home win vs. San Francisco Giants Tuesday
- 2023 road splits: 4-6, 4.68 ERA (102 IP, 53 ER), 15 HR, .251 OBA in 17 starts
Rodon (3-6, 5.90 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 58 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 3-2 road loss vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates last Sunday
- 2023 home splits: 1-3, 6.59 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 7 HR, .279 OBA in 6 starts
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Diamondbacks at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140) | Yankees +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Diamondbacks at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Yankees 5
Moneyline
If this game is able to be played, and the weather holds off, the DIAMONDBACKS (-120) are the road play behind the 16-game winner Gallen. Rodon has just been too shaky for the Yankees (+100), especially at home. Plus, Arizona is pushing for a postseason spot, while New York is playing out the string after a disappointing season.
Gallen’s splits on the road are a little concerning, so this could be a close game, Rodon has been equally giving on his home field. Feel confident playing the slight road favorites.
Run line/Against the spread
The YANKEES +1.5 (-160) aren’t priced out of line if you’d like a little bit of insurance on the home team. Yes, the Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140) are battling for a wild-card spot, but the New Jersey native Gallen has a sub-.500 record on the road, while posting a 4.68 ERA in 102 IP on the road, as opposed to his 12-2 record and 2.45 ERA in 95 2/3 IP at home.
Over/Under
The OVER 8.5 (-105) is the lean, as Gallen has been giving on the road this season, and Rodon has been giving everywhere, regardless of venue.
The Diamondbacks offense has been humming along, too, going for 6 or more runs in 5 of the past 6 games, averaging 5.8 runs per game (RPG), which is bad news for Rodon and potential Under bettors.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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