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The Toronto Blue Jays (84-67) and New York Yankees (76-75) meet Wednesday to continue a 3-game AL East series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 4-4
Toronto has won 4 straight games, and that streak comes on the heels of a 4-game losing sked Sept. 11-14. The Blue Jays are 8-4 with an .839 OPS over their last dozen games on the road.
New York had just 1 walk and 1 extra-base hit in Tuesday’s 6-1 loss. Over their last 12 games, the Yankees have logged a whiff-heavy .193/.297/.296 (.593 OPS).
Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters
RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Michael King
Gausman (11-9, 3.4 ERA) makes his 30th start of the season. He has a 1.2 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 172 innings
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 6 BB, 5 K in 9-2 home loss vs. Texas Rangers Thursday
- 2023 road stats: 6-5, 3.52 ERA in 79 1/3 IP across 14 starts
- Last 5 starts vs. Yankees: 2-1, 1.64 ERA in 33 IP (2022-23)
King (4-6, 2.77 ERA) makes his 47th appearance and 7th start. He has notched a 1.15 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 87 2/3 IP
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 8 K in 5-0 loss at Boston Red Sox Thursday
- 2023 home stats: 2-3, 3.66 ERA in 39 1/3 IP in 2 starts and 22 relief appearances
- Career vs. Toronto: 2-1, 3.75 ERA in 36 IP
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Blue Jays at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Yankees +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 4, Yankees 3
Moneyline
The Blue Jays have hit the moneyline in 29 of their last 45 road games (+8.20 units, 14% ROI).
Gausman’s season line is for real, and he has an excellent history against New York. He’s on his preferred 5-day rest (.649 OPS allowed career) heading into this turn and draws a scuffling Yankee offense. And of late, he has improved on his contact-allowed figures (fewer hard-contact and barreled balls).
King is a swingman who figures to give New York 4 or 5 innings, and that exposes a banged-up Yankee bullpen.
TAKE THE BLUE JAYS (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
More juice here, but a line watch might be in order for players willing to take on the run line favorite risk. A Toronto -1.5 +150 or higher would make for decent return.
Otherwise, PASS.
Over/Under
Numbers vs. expected. possible leverage factors, swing both ways. PASS.
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