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The Detroit Tigers (66-79) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (76-71) to Comerica Park Thursday to cap off a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 2-0
The Reds beat the Tigers 4-3 Wednesday as +121 underdogs, a 2nd straight win in this series despite being underdogs in both games. Cincinnati is 40-32 on the road this season and holds the final NL Wild Card.
The Tigers are 9 1/2 games behind the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central, but they’re 14 1/2 games back of the final AL Wild Card. Detroit is just 31-43 at home this season and is 5-5 over its last 10 games.
Reds at Tigers projected starters
RHP Derek Law vs. RHP Reese Olson
Law (4-5, 3.83 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 49th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 49 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 0 K in 6-5 road win vs. Miami Marlins on May 13
- Last appearance: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 9-4 home loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals Friday
- 2023 road stats: 2-4, 4.15 ERA in 21 2/3 IP 1 start and 23 relief appearances
Olson (3-7, 4.50 ERA) makes his 16th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 86 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 6-0 home loss vs. the Chicago White Sox Friday
- 2023 home stats: 2-5, 4.89 ERA in 53 1/3 IP over 9 starts and 2 relief appearances
Reds at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Tigers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+150) | Tigers +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Reds at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 5, Tigers 3
Moneyline
BET REDS (-110).
The Reds will start Law but will turn to the bullpen early. Cincinnati is 13th in reliever ERA at 3.88 and is riding 2 straight wins over the Tigers. The Reds have the 6th-best straight-up record on the road and following a win (43-32).
They should have more to play for with a playoff spot still in question as well. Detroit is just 7-11 with Olson on the mound, and he has given up at least 4 earned runs in 3 of his last 7 starts.
Back REDS (-110).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The value just isn’t here to back either side. The Reds should have the edge for the reasons above but have won both games by just 1 run. Ultimately, be on the cautious side and play Cincinnati to win outright.
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Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-105).
The Tigers have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and are 2-4 O/U in Olson’s last 4 starts. The Reds have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 3 of their last 5.
Olson has allowed 3 or more earned runs in just 7 of his 18 appearances. Considering both teams’ recent trends, take the UNDER 8.5 (-105).
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