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The San Diego Padres (68-78) wrap up a 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (88-56) on Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 9-3
The Padres were defeated 11-2 by the Dodgers on Tuesday as OF Fernando Tatis Jr. hit his 24th homer of the season. San Diego has lost 5 of its last 8 games and is 8 games back of the final NL Wild Card.
Dodgers 1B Freddie Freeman hit his 26th home run of the season and tallied 4 hits in Tuesday’s lopsided win. Los Angeles is 4-2 in its last 6 games and is 13 games ahead of the Arizona Diamondbacks atop the NL West.
Padres at Dodgers projected starters
LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Ryan Pepiot
Snell (13-9, 2.52 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 161 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 11-2 road win vs. Houston Astros Friday
- 2023 road stats: 4-4, 2.29 ERA (78 2/3 IP, 20 ER) in 14 starts
- Career vs. Dodgers: 1-2, 2.86 ERA (56 2/3 IP, 18 ER) in 12 starts
Pepiot (2-0, 0.86 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.52 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 21 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 10-0 road win vs. Miami Marlins Thursday
- 2023 home stats: 1-0, 0.90 ERA (10 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
- First career start vs. the Padres
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Padres at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-175) | Dodgers -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Padres 3
Moneyline
I’ll take the DODGERS (-130) at home Wednesday despite that they’re facing Snell. The Dodgers are a perfect 4-0 in the Pepiot’s 4 appearances and have won 9 of 12 meetings vs. the Padres this season.
Run line/Against the spread
DODGERS -1.5 (+145) is how I’d wager on the spread with L.A. playing at home. The Dodgers have beat the Padres by at least 2 runs in 8 of their 9 wins against them this season.
Over/Under
While Snell and Pepiot have been great on the mound, OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean in this game. The Dodgers boast the 6th-best ISO (.204), wOBA (.367), and wRC+ (133) against left-handed pitching since the beginning of August.
The Over is also 6-0 in the last 6 meetings overall.
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